RTRS; NYMEX-Crude choppy, slips from high as equities dip
U.S. crude futures edged lower Friday in
choppy trading as Wall Street slipped and with oil having retreated from an
early high on a weaker dollar weakness and rising implied demand in China
when resistance firmed near $62 a barrel.
"We may be stuck in a $60-$62 range and the S&P sliding pressured. It's
the same discussion about weak fundamentals versus the expectation that the
economy will improve in the second half," said Gene McGillian, analyst at
Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut,
"The volume's thin and the shorts may be reluctant late to be too short
during the long weekend," McGillian added.
U.S. stocks turned negative Friday on worries about the fiscal outlook
of the United States, with U.S. Treasuries and other dollar-denominated
assets also lower. [.N]
The dollar fell to its lowest level in five months against a basket of
currencies as concerns about the U.S. sovereign rating accelerated a recent
drive to move away from the greenback. [USD/]
China's apparent oil demand in April rose 3.9 percent from a year
earlier, its first significant rise since October 2008. [ID:nPEK90266]
"We can say China oil demand news supportive, but it appears the dollar
falling to new lows for 2009 is providing the main support for crude this
morning," said Tom Bentz, analyst at BNP Paribas Commodities Futures Inc in
New York.
Refined products were mixed and also choppy as RBOB was supported by
expectations for demand to pick this U.S. Memorial Day holiday weekend.
PRICES
* On the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:03 a.m. EDT (1403 GMT),
July crude CLN9 was down 5 cents, or 0.08 percent, at $61.00 a barrel,
trading from $60.50 to $61.98.
* Wednesday's $62.26 intraday peak was the highest since $62.28 set on
Nov. 11, 2008.
* In London, July Brent crude LCON9 was up 9 cents, or 0.15 percent,
at $60.02 a barrel, trading from $59.61 to $60.94.
* NYMEX June RBOB RBM9 rose 1.03 cents, or 0.57 percent, to $1.81 a
gallon, trading from $1.7985 to $1.8270.
* NYMEX June heating oil HOM9 fell 1.33 cents, or 0.87 percent, to
$1.5161 a gallon, trading from $1.4070 to $1.5441.
* The July/July RBOB crack spread <0#RB-CL=R> was at $13.87. It ended
at $13.37 on Thursday. The July/July heating oil crack spread <0#CL-HO=R>
was at $3.88. It ended at $4.29 on Thursday.
* The spread between the current front month and the five-year forward
crude contract CLc61 was at $14.54, based on the July 2014 contract
settlement on Thursday at $75.54. The spread ended at $15.62 on Thursday.
TECHNICALS
NYMEX crude 10-day/20-day moving average: $59.36/$56.45
Technical support/resistance:
NYMEX crude: $60.00/$62.00
NYMEX heating oil: $1.4635/$1.5730
NYMEX RBOB: $1.7674/1.8330
For a report on technicals click [ID:nLM426222]
MARKET NEWS
* OPEC plans to start its May 28 closed session to set output policy at
10 a.m. Vienna time (0800 GMT), a source familiar with the plans said.
[ID:nLM175476]
* OPEC ministers are expected to make no change to oil supply when they
meet next week as higher prices ease their concerns about overflowing fuel
inventories and the deepest fall in demand for years. [ID:nLM580270]
* Oil refinery production in 16 European countries fell by 79,000
barrels per day in April, data from industry monitors Euroilstock showed on
Friday. [ID:nLM010131]