BLBG: Treasury Futures Poised to Extend Losses: Technical Analysis
By Wes Goodman
July 29 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury 10-year futures contracts, heading for a fourth monthly decline, will extend losses into August judging by trading patterns, according to DZ Bank AG.
Using a chart of the contract price, DZ Bank drew a descending line connecting the highs of the second and third weeks of July and extrapolated it out to today. The line suggests a price of 117 1/8 for today, above the current level of 116 3/32.
“While the price is below that line, the tactical approach would be to sell into rallies, rather than to buy on dips,” said Andy Cossor, the Hong Kong-based chief market strategist for Asia at Frankfurt-based DZ Bank, Germany’s fifth-biggest lender.
Futures contracts for September delivery fell 5/32 this month, or $1.56 per $1,000 face amount. The contracts slid in April, May and June for a total of 6 6/32. They were little changed today as of 12:19 p.m. in Tokyo.
In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to predict changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.
To contact the reporter on this story: Wes Goodman in Singapore at wgoodman@bloomberg.net.