RTRS: METALS-Copper at 19-mth high on Q2 fund expectations
* Fresh fund cash seen in Q2, risk appetite buoys prices
* LME inventory data mixed, US jobs data watched
* COMING UP: Redbook weekly U.S. retail sales at 1255 GMT
(Recasts, adds comments/details, updates official prices)
By Michael Taylor
LONDON, March 30 (Reuters) - Copper hit a 19-month high on
Tuesday, as a falling dollar and rising risk appetite boosted
prices, with positive expectations for fund flows and metals
demand going into the second quarter.
Benchmark copper for three-month delivery CMCU3 on the
London Metal Exchange traded at $7,821 a tonne from $7,770 at
the close on Monday.
Copper, used in power and construction, touched a high at
$7,835 a tonne, as the euro hit a one-week high against the
dollar on relief that debt-laden Greece was able to raise funds
from the market. [USD/]
"The whole Greece situation has settled down a bit (and)
risk appetite has picked up on the back of that," said Dan
Smith, an analyst at Standard Chartered. "There is a lot of
volatility surrounding the end of quarter -- the next few weeks
will be tough to call.
"Everyone is anticipating new money coming from the funds
but we don't know how much it is going to be."
A weak U.S. currency makes metals priced in dollars less
expensive for holders of other currencies.
Copper is on course for a 15 percent rise this quarter, and
analysts see prices maintaining the upward trend from April, as
economic activity improves.
Also aiding sentiment in recent sessions, copper stocks have
fallen 40,175 tonnes since mid-February when they peaked at
their highest level since October 2003. On Tuesday, they fell
625 tonnes to 514,900 tonnes.
"Steadily falling LME inventories are an encouraging sign,
implying that underlying consumption may be strong," investment
bank Fairfax said in a note.
JOBS DATA EXPECTED
Vital for the future demand indicators will be Friday's
non-farm payroll jobs data from the United States, the world's
largest economy.
"On Good Friday, the U.S. statistical office will still
publish the job figures, and all the exchanges are closed --
thank you very much," said Herwig Schmidt, head of sales at
Triland Metals. "There will be a chaos on Tuesday, I expect
quite a turbulent Easter."
Many financial markets will be closed on Friday and Monday
for holidays. [ID:nL23389078]
Aluminium CMAL3 traded at a near ten week high at $2,300
in LME rings versus $2,283. LME stocks for the metal, used in
transport and packaging, rose 30,075 tonnes to remain near
all-time highs above 4.6 million tonnes.
Aluminium stocks hit a near nine-month low at 4.513 million
tonnes on March 12. A large portion of those stocks are tied up
in finance deals, to release cash for producers and to earn
banks higher returns than they would get in money markets.
[ID:nGEE5BA277]
In other metals, steel making ingredient nickel CMNI3 was
untraded in LME rings but last bid at $24,195 from $24,000 while
battery material lead CMPB3 was bid at $2,166 from $2,151.
Nickel earlier touched a high at $24,310 -- just off its
highest level since June 2008.
Speculators have been active in the nickel market in recent
weeks, with latest LME data showing a dominant position
controlling between 50-80 percent of cash warrants. [LME/WC]
The discount between the cash and three-month contract
MNI0-3, at about $35 a tonne, versus $83 on March 1.
For nickel graphs, click:
here
here
On Friday, Stratton Metals denied it was behind an
unexpected rally in the nickel price this year. [ID:nN26156363]
Stocks of nickel fell 258 tonnes to a near three month low
at 156,090 tonnes, down from record highs at 166,476 tonnes
touched on Feb. 5.
LME data also showed two positions controlled between 40-50
percent of lead cash warrants. The discount between the cash and
three-month contract MPBI0-3, was at $29.50 a tonne, compared
to $38.30 in mid-December.
Zinc CMZN3 traded at three-week highs at $2,360.50 a tonne
in exchange rings from $2,332 and tin CMSN3 was at a
multi-week highs at $18,350 in LME rings from $18,025.
For more on Chile's copper output, click [ID:nN30137159]
Metal Prices at 1226 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 354.10 1.30 +0.37 332.75 6.42
LME Alum 0.00 -2283.00 -100.00 2230.00 -100.00
LME Cu 7820.00 50.00 +0.64 7375.00 6.03
LME Lead 2163.00 12.00 +0.56 2432.00 -11.06
LME Nickel 24230.00 230.00 +0.96 18525.00 30.80
LME Tin 18300.00 275.00 +1.53 16950.00 7.96
LME Zinc 2360.00 28.00 +1.20 2560.00 -7.81
SHFE Alu 16660.00 35.00 +0.21 17160.00 -2.91
SHFE Cu* 61690.00 -50.00 -0.08 59900.00 2.99
SHFE Zin 18910.00 -20.00 -0.11 21195.00 -10.78
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
(Editing by Keiron Henderson)