The chatter of a bubble in gold is gaining more and more momentum and while I believe there is a high probability of an irrational bubble forming in gold we are still far from being in bubble territory. If you consider gold in real terms we’re still 91% from the all-time highs (via Bloomberg):
The CHART OF THE DAY shows the gold price relative to January 1980, when the metal reached $873 an ounce. Yesterday’s record close in New York trading equals $454.88 an ounce in real terms, reflecting an increase in the U.S. consumer price index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Gold would have to rise above $2,435 an ounce to exceed its high from three decades ago, based on the CPI’s current reading. That’s 91 percent higher than the closing price of $1,272.20 in New York trading yesterday.
