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RTRS:UPDATE 4-Oil up $3, above $112 after record rout last week
 
* Dollar weakens as euro rebounds
* Chinese import and inflation data eyed
* Coming up: April U.S. employment index; 1400 GMT

(Recasts, adds fresh quotes, previous SINGAPORE)
By Claire Milhench
LONDON, May 9 (Reuters) - Oil rebounded on Monday, up over
$3 helped by a weaker dollar, rising Asian equity markets and
bargain hunting by traders and investors after Brent crude lost
over $16 last week.
At 0838 GMT Brent crude LCOc1 for June was up by $3.07 to
$112.20 a barrel. U.S. crude CLc1 rose by $2.57 to $99.75,
after hitting an intraday high of $99.99 a barrel.
"It's a combination of a slightly weaker U.S. dollar, rising
equity markets in Asia and bargain-hunting," said Carsten
Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.
"Some market participants consider the lower price levels
after the sharp drop on Thursday a good buying opportunity."
The Reuters-Jefferies CRB index .CRB, a global benchmark
for commodities prices, last week staged its biggest weekly drop
since late 2008, down 9 percent. [ID:nLDE7450VD]
The dollar was down 0.50 percent against a basket of
currencies .DXY at 0741 GMT on Monday, with the euro bouncing
back in early Asian trade as traders scooped it up after a steep
drop last week.
MSCI's index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS was also up 2.86 percent by 0803 GMT, after
falling nearly 3 percent last week.
But Fritsch was cautious about the rebound. "I can't imagine
we will rise back to the levels we saw before the sharp drop any
time soon," he said.
"I see some consolidation in the coming days before we start
to rise again. And in the interim we may test the lows from
Friday. Techincal levels have been broken and it will take some
time for the markets to recover."
According to technical charts, Brent futures are expected to
revisit Friday's low of $105.15 per barrel, while U.S. crude
could head back down to $94.63, said Reuters market analyst Wang
Tao. [ID:nL3E7G9018][ID:nL3E7G9024]
Edward Meir, a senior commodity analyst at MF Global, was
also cautious, believing U.S. crude could be forced down to $95,
and possibly $90, over the course of May.
"There has been a record amount length built up by
non-commercial speculative money in crude, and we suspect that
more of these long positions will be flushed out over the course
of the month," he said in a note.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
A 24-hour technical outlook on Brent:
here
A 24-hour technical outlook on WTI:
here
SPECIAL REPORT - What really triggered oil's greatest rout:
[ID:nN08158912]
COLUMN on oil's new narrative by John Kemp:[ID:nLDE7450UF]
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
After the massive losses for oil on Thursday, banks Morgan
Stanley and JP Morgan were predicting increases for crude
because of tight supplies. [ID:nLDE74513V]
"Importantly, supply disruptions are still present and
despite higher prices, global oil demand remains robust," U.S.
investment bank Morgan Stanley said in a research note on
Monday, echoing earlier calls by J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs.

DEMAND DESTRUCTION?
This week the market will be looking to see if high price
levels have had an impact on oil demand, with Chinese import
data for April due on Tuesday [ID:nL3E7G90HI] and the monthly
outlooks from OPEC and the IEA on Wednesday and Thursday
respectively.
"Possibly we will see a slight downward revision to oil
demand growth forecasts for this year and that could also cap
price rallies this week," said Fritsch.
Iran's OPEC governor Mohammad Ali Khatibi told Reuters on
Sunday he expected the price of oil to pick up again during the
start of the summer season, but said the market was well
supplied. [ID:nLDE7470AG]
OPEC is due to meet in June, and if supply remains at the
current levels there will be no need to boost output, Khatibi
added.
The market is also eyeing key Chinese inflation data
expected this week [ID:nL3E7G60AQ].
A higher than expected reading might revive expectations of
more policy tightening from Beijing, dealing a further blow to
beaten-down commodities.
(Additional reporting by Francis Kan in Singapore; editing by
Jason Neely)




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