RTRS:METALS-Copper steadies as relief rally peters out
(Recasts, adds analyst comment, detail)
* Chile's Codelco seeks to avert 24 hr strike
* New copper records seen in 2H - BNP Paribas
* Coming Up: U.S. factory orders for May at 1400 GMT
By Melanie Burton
July 5 (Reuters) - Copper steadied on Tuesday as a pick up in demand for
risky assets petered out and markets awaited U.S. data for fresh direction,
while some wondered if copper prices have climbed too far too fast, given
still-scant signs of demand from China.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $9,445 a
tonne, compared with a close of $9,455 a tonne on Monday.
The metal used in power and construction rallied to a two-month peak of
$9,520.25 the prior session, but remains still some 7 percent from a record seen
in February
"(A price recovery) seems to me a little bit early. We've got all of these
problems around the macro market... and I don't think the evidence of Chinese
demand picking up is strong enough yet," analyst Stephen Briggs of BNP Paribas
said.
"Sentiment a couple of weeks ago was quite poor...this is a relief rally,"
he added.
A pick up in demand for risky assets from last week softened a bit on some
speculation about a possible rate rise in China this weekend, as well as a
Moody's report saying the scale of problem loans at local governments in China
may be much bigger than previously thought.
Expectations that appetite from top consumer China will improve alongside
European and U.S. industry after summer -- against a backdrop of constricted
supply -- has fed predictions that copper will print new records later this
year.
BNP Paribas sees copper hitting a record near $11,000 in the second half.
But so far, Chinese consumers do not appear to be making major buys. LME
copper stocks have fallen by some 12,000 tonnes to two-month lows, but the
latest inventories data from the Shanghai Futures Exchange showed that stocks
jumped by more than 9,000 tonnes on the week. CU-STX-SGH
"Backwardation in the (Shanghai) market has all but disappeared following
last week's stock increase. This is a sign that the buying has dropped as prices
have risen too fast for some," broker Triland said in a note.
Elsewhere, the euro looked set to snap a six-day winning streak on Tuesday,
as the dollar was bought back broadly on concerns over the Chinese economy and
speculation that U.S. companies will repatriate dollars earned overseas.
"Overall we would watch the dollar closely if it continues to rebound then
we would expect that to produce a headwind for the metals," FastMarkets said in
a note.
SUPPLY PIPELINE
The copper supply pipeline, which is at risk of severe disruptions, was
highlighted again on Tuesday, with weather and strike issues in the world's top
copper producer, Chile, overnight.
Chile's giant Collahuasi copper mine said on Monday it was operating under a
contingency plan due to bad weather that has delayed a workers' shift.
Meanwhile, state-run Codelco sought to avert a 24-hour strike by
workers demanding a bigger say in its restructuring. [IDnN1E76310A]
This comes on the heels of a seven-day strike at Freeport-McMoran Copper &
Gold Inc's Indonesian unit on Monday.
In other metals, battery material lead was at $2,673 from
$2,684. A trader said there had been a flurry of demand for high grade material
in Europe.
Aluminium was at $2,514 from $2,510. Stainless steel material nickel
was at $23,287 from $23,175.
Tin changed hands at $25,850 from a bid of $25,650 while
zinc , used in galvanizing, was at $2,386 from $2,398 on
Monday's close.
Metal Prices at 0936 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd
Pct
move
COMEX Cu 429.15 -0.50 -0.12 334.65
28.24
LME Alum 2511.00 1.00 +0.04 2230.00
12.60
LME Cu 9420.00 -35.00 -0.37 7375.00
27.73
LME Lead 2683.50 -0.50 -0.02 2432.00
10.34
LME Nickel 23175.00 0.00 +0.00 18525.00
25.10
LME Tin 25650.00 -400.00 -1.54 16950.00
51.33
LME Zinc 2397.00 -1.00 -0.04 2560.00
-6.37
SHFE Alu 17300.00 -75.00 -0.43 17160.00
0.82
SHFE Cu* 70330.00 -440.00 -0.62 59900.00
17.41
SHFE Zin 18080.00 -20.00 -0.11 21195.00
-14.70
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07