RTRS:METALS-China confidence propels copper to 3-mth high
* Supply disruptions, stocks boost copper
* Spotlight on lead inventories
* Coming up: U.S. June non-farm payrolls at 1230 GMT
(Updates prices, adds table)
By Pratima Desai
LONDON, July 8 (Reuters) - Copper hit a three-month high on
Friday as concerns about demand from top consumer China receded
and supply disruptions reinforced expectations of potential
shortages this year.
However, traders expected subdued trading ahead of a monthly
jobs report from the United States, the world's largest economy,
later on Friday.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange
touched $9,789.75 a tonne, the higehest since April 12. The
metal used in power and construction was trading at $9,745 a
tonne at 1045 GMT from Thursday's close at $9,740.
One of the triggers for copper's rise this week was the
perception that China's third rate hike this year would probably
be the last in a series aimed at reining in inflationary
pressures.
"Weaker Chinese manufacturing data helped, it gave the
market some confidence that China wouldn't continue tightening
over the rest of the year because we have now seen an impact on
activity," said Gayle Berry, analyst at Barclays Capital.
China accounts for nearly 40 percent of global copper
consumption estimated at about 21 million tonnes this year.
Factory activity in China grew at its slowest pace in 28
months in June.
"There is a feeling in the market that the worst is behind
us," Berry said. "Supply side disruptions are also helping
copper ... The copper supply side is looking very weak this year
and is vulnerable to these types of disruptions."
One disruption involves Freeport Indonesia , where
workers may extend for a further week a strike that has crippled
copper output at the huge Grasberg mine if talks with management
on Friday do not bring a deal on pay.
INVENTORY DYNAMICS
In Chile, workers at Codelco's top two operations,
Chuquicamata and El Teniente, ratified plans to strike for 24
hours next Monday to protest against an overhaul of the
country's giant state mining company.
"This poses an upside price risks for copper," Credit Suisse
Private Banking said in a note. "LME inventory dynamics continue
to point to strengthening end use demand, which bodes well for
metals prices."
Stocks of copper in LME-registered warehouses at 461,850
tonnes are the lowest since April 21 and down more than 3
percent since a year high of 477,925 tonnes on June 9.
Lead inventories at 308,300 tonnes, the lowest since late
April, are also in the spotlight and helping to support prices
of the battery metal.
Three-month lead was trading at $2,720 a tonne from
$2,720 a tonne at the close on Thursday when it saw $2,730 a
tonne, the highest since April 13.
"The world's largest lead-only mine, Magellan isn't going to
be operating this year at all, that is clearly price
supportive," Berry said.
Canadian miner Ivernia Inc said in April it was
placing its flagship Magellan lead mine in Australia under full
care and maintenance for an indefinite period.
"The concerns about the impact of the closures of the
battery plants in China have started to ease, we are seeing
battery manufacturing plants restart," Berry said.
Aluminium was at $2,578 a tonne from Thursday's last
bid at $2,590. Zinc was at $2,391 a tonne from $2,412 on
Thursday.
Traders said momentum buying pushed tin up to
$27,650 a tonne, its highest since June 1 and nickel to
$24,299, the highest since May 19.
Tin was last at $27,500 a tonne from $27,540 at the close on
Thursday and nickel at $24,146 from $23,900.
Metal Prices at 1145 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 442.85 -0.75 -0.17 444.70 -0.42
LME Alum 2590.00 34.00 +1.33 2470.00 4.86
LME Cu 9739.00 -1.00 -0.01 9600.00 1.45
LME Lead 2720.50 -0.50 -0.02 2550.00 6.69
LME Nickel 23900.00 0.00 +0.00 24750.00 -3.43
LME Tin 27535.00 -5.00 -0.02 26900.00 2.36
LME Zinc 2411.00 -1.00 -0.04 2454.00 -1.75
SHFE Alu 17395.00 15.00 +0.09 16840.00 3.30
SHFE Cu* 71870.00 820.00 +1.15 71850.00 0.03
SHFE Zin 18175.00 35.00 +0.19 19475.00 -6.68
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
(Reporting by Pratima Desai; Editing by Alison Birrane)