RTRS:METALS-LME copper edges up on weak dollar, Chinese consumption
* Dollar weakens further, boosts London copper
* S&P's threatens to downgrade U.S. credit rating
* Bernanke retracts QE3 hint
* U.S. Industrial prod/Capacity use, June; 1315 GMT
(Updates prices, adds quotes and details)
By Carrie Ho
SHANGHAI, July 15 (Reuters) - London copper edged higher on
Friday as the dollar weakened after Standard and Poor's warned
it could cut the U.S. credit rating if no deal was reached on
raising the government's debt ceiling and hopes for restocking
by China supported the market.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange
edged up 0.3 percent to $9,662.75 a tonne by 0421 GMT.
The U.S. dollar fell in early Asian trade on Friday after
S&P's warning on U.S. credit downgrade.
"For copper's longer term price direction, we still have to
look to Chinese consumption, which is steady. There will be
restocking, given the robust drawdowns from inventories," said
Dongzheng Futures trader Du Xiao Hua.
But the most-active September copper contract on the
Shanghai Futures Exchange edged down 0.4 percent to
71,860 yuan per tonne.
"Although LME and ShFE copper are moving in different
directions, their movements are very small. I wouldn't say there
is a disconnect between the two contracts," Du noted.
"What's stopping ShFE copper prices from surging higher
right now is the fact that prices are too high while credit is
still tight in China. But downstream demand is good with end
users reporting strong orders on their books," Du said.
On the macroeconomic front, various news weighed on
sentiment. Ratings agency Standard & Poor's has warned it could
cut the triple-A rating of the U.S. if a deal on raising the
government's debt ceiling is not reached soon.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke earlier raised hopes
of the U.S. central bank embarking on a third round of economic
stimulus, but in testimony to the senate on Thursday he said the
central bank was not yet ready to take action.
The U.S. Treasury has warned that it will run out of money
to pay the country's bills after Aug. 2 if the $14.3 trillion
borrowing limit is not raised. Failure to seal a deal by then
could cause turmoil in global financial markets and plunge the
U.S. into another recession.
And as politicians struggled to reach a deal on deficit
cuts, Bernanke warned that overzealous cuts to government
spending in the short term could derail a shaky recovery.
Policymakers and bankers are examining radical proposals to
rescue Greece that include a sharp cut in its debt burden, ways
to prop up banks and a new emphasis on boosting Greek growth,
official and banking sources say.
Italy's austerity budget passed its first parliamentary
hurdle on Thursday but the opposition says Prime Minister Silvio
Berlusconi's government is in a shambles and should resign after
it is finally approved.
"Things are not pretty on the macroeconomic front today, but
problems with in the U.S. economy and the euro zone are not
new," Du said.
"These lingering problems have no negative or positive
resolutions yet, that's why they're not offering very clear
price direction. The possibility of QE3 wasn't clear in the
first place, so now that it's taken off the table, it doesn't
hurt that much," he added.
The world economy should expand steadily this year and next
thanks mainly to prospering emerging powers, a Reuters poll
showed, but fiscal troubles lurking in Europe and potentially
the United States risk blowing this view apart.
Base metals prices at 0421 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move YTD pct chg
LME Cu 9662.75 32.75 +0.34 0.65
SHFE CU FUT SEP1 71860 -260 -0.36 0.01
LME Alum 2510.50 3.50 +0.14 1.64
SHFE AL FUT SEP1 17545 155 +0.89 4.19
HG COPPER SEP1 439.35 -1.90 +0.31 -1.04
LME Zinc 2370.00 20.00 +0.85 -3.42
SHFE ZN FUT SEP1 18225 -80 -0.44 -6.42
LME Nickel 24100.00 -110.00 -0.45 -2.63
LME Lead 2685.00 20.00 +0.75 5.29
SHFE PB FUT 17480 -75 -0.43 -4.74
LME Tin 27500.00 75.00 +0.27 2.23
LME/Shanghai arb 1192
Shanghai and COMEX contracts show most active months
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
Shanghai lead launched on March 24