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RTRS:METALS-Copper up on dlr, supply; gains seen short-lived
 

* Aluminium cancelled warrants jump by 25,000 T in Detroit
* Labour talks continue at Vale's Canadian nickel ops
* Coming up: US ADP jobs at 1215 GMT, Chicago PMI, US factory orders
By Melanie Burton
LONDON, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Wednesday, underpinned by a weaker
dollar and supply concerns, but an upcoming slew of U.S. economic data and
uncertainty shrouding the global economic outlook sidelined traders and capped
gains.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at
$9,218 a tonne at 09 58 GMT, up 0.60 percent from a close of
$9,160 . It earlier hit $9,245, a peak since early August when the metal
succumbed to heavy liquidation on fears a global slowdown would eat into demand.
A weaker dollar was helping support the complex, analyst David Wilson of
Societe Generale said, but gains should not last long.
"People are nervous at restocking because of the macro outlook which is not
improving -- if anything it's getting worse," analyst David Wilson at Societe
Generale said.
"Production issues are becoming a side show -- This is a last hurrah before
this heads to the downside."
The euro rose to a session high against the dollar on Wednesday after a
German government spokesman said the cabinet had approved a framework for draft
law to expand the euro zone rescue mechanism. A weaker dollar makes
commodities less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Since the price differential between Shanghai and London copper became
unfavourable for imports last week, purchases from top consumer China have
tailed off.
Premiums for bonded copper in Shanghai have fallen more than 10 percent from
last week due to poor arbitrage and reduced demand for spot metal in the
domestic market, marking the first fall in premium since July, traders said on
Wednesday.
Still, supply concerns were providing a major plank of support, according to
Macquarie Securities.
"The current high price reflects very low inventory cover and the
expectation that the market will remain in deficit between supply and demand for
some time yet," Macquarie securities said in a note.
"Data from the world's largest copper producer, Chile, highlights the supply
issues."
Copper output in the world's No. 1 producer totalled 373,498 tonnes in
July, down 18 percent from the same month last year, according to a government
report this week.
Elsewhere, a string of U.S. economic data today includes the ADP and
Challenger jobs reports, which will be closely watched ahead of August non-farm
payrolls on Friday, as well as Chicago Purchasing Manufacturers Index and July
Factory orders.
"This week's global PMIs are...important as the metals sector is very much in
need of positive impetus from the economy," Credit Suisse said in a note.

NICKEL TALKS
In nickel, labour talks appear to be going smoothly at Vale's
Thompson mining, smelting and refining complex in Manitoba, Canada where the
current contract expires in mid-September.
"Talks continue in Thompson and we remain committed to reaching a deal," a
Vale spokesman told Reuters.
Thompson has the capacity to produce around 60,000 tonnes a year of refined
nickel, according to Reuters Metal Production Database.
Nickel traded at $22,025 a tonne, up from a close of 21,950 on
Tuesday.


Tin was at $24,175 from $24,000 while zinc , used
in galvanizing was at $2,278 little changed from $2,285 on
Tuesday's close.
Battery material lead was at $2,544 from $2,558 after
gaining 3 percent on Tuesday on reports of improving Chinese demand. All LME
lead stocks in Baltimore of 4,300 tonnes were cancelled and to be drawn down
from warehouses, latest data showed. <0#MPBSTX-LOC>
Aluminium was at $ 2,431.50 from
$ 2,425, with 25,000 tonnes cancelled and to be drawn down from Detroit, LME
data showed. <0#MALSTX-LOC-GRD>
Metal Prices at 1044 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 417.30 4.30 +1.04 334.65 24.70
LME Alum 2424.00 -1.00 -0.04 2230.00 8.70
LME Cu 9160.00 0.00 +0.00 7375.00 24.20
LME Lead 2558.00 0.00 +0.00 2432.00 5.18
LME Nickel 21905.00 -45.00 -0.21 18525.00 18.25
LME Tin 24005.00 5.00 +0.02 16950.00 41.62
LME Zinc 2284.50 -0.50 -0.02 2560.00 -10.76
SHFE Alu 17470.00 25.00 +0.14 17160.00 1.81
SHFE Cu* 68360.00 110.00 +0.16 59900.00 14.12
SHFE Zin 17360.00 45.00 +0.26 21195.00 -18.09
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07


(Reporting by Melanie Burton,; additional reporting by Euan Rocha; editing by
Keiron Henderson)
Source