RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil retreats on better U.S soy outlook
* USDA raised soy production outlook by 1 pct
* Palm oil stocks set to rise in September -traders
* Technicals neutral, could turn negative
(Updates throughout, adds comment/detail)
By Niluksi Koswanage
KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
retreated on Tuesday from near one-month highs hit the previous
day as a better-than-expected production outlook for the U.S.
soy crop signalled improving vegetable oil supplies.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture unexpectedly raised its
U.S. crop production outlook by 1 percent in a monthly report,
despite forecasts for a smaller crop due to hot, dry weather
this summer.
While this is a small rise, it adds to the view that global
edible oil supplies will improve as traders see Malaysian palm
oil production and stocks recovering this month as estate
workers return from a Muslim holiday.
"The question is whether palm oil futures will drop and stay
below 3,000 ringgit for an extended time period," said a trader
with a foreign commodities brokerage.
"My guess is that could happen since Malaysian and
Indonesian production is recovering this month and could climb
significantly," he added.
By midday, benchmark November palm oil FCPOc3 on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 1.4 percent to 3,027 ringgit
($999.51) per tonne. Prices the previous day hit a near
one-month peak at 3,076.
Overall traded volumes stood at 8,050 lots of 25 tonnes each
compared to the usual 12,500 lots.
According to Reuters analyst Wang Tao, palm oil FCPOc3
turned neutral following a retracement on Tuesday to a low at
3,022 ringgit per tonne.
Signs of a build up in palm oil stocks are growing as cargo
surveyors have reported sharp declines in Sept. 1-10 Malaysian
exports.
"It is very significant and it is giving a breather to palm
oil stocks in Malaysia that have fallen for two straight months.
The build up starts in September, surely," said another trader.
Oil tracked equities higher on Tuesday, rising by as much as
$1, while a weaker dollar rekindled some of the appeal of
commodities as concern about Europe's deteriorating debt crisis
eased temporarily.
Vegetable oil markets largely ignored the gains in crude oil
as the improved outlook for the U.S. soy crop weighed. U.S.
soyoil for October delivery barely moved in Asian trade
after falling in the previous session.
The most active May 2012 soybean oil contract on China's
Dalian Exchange fell 1.3 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0435 GMT
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.029 Malaysian Ringgit)
(Editing by Michael Urquhart)
((niki.koswanage@thomsonreuters.com)(+603 2333 8035)(Reuters
Messaging:)(niki.koswanage.thomsonreuters.com@thomsonreuters.net
)