RTRS:VEGOILS-Renewed euro zone fears drag on palm oil futures
* Malaysia deputy PM says impending rains could be
"devastating"
* Greek referendum on bailout package may derail plans to
stem the crisis
(adds details, comments)
By Niluksi Koswanage
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
slipped on Tuesday on concerns over the effectiveness of the
euro zone bailout package, although a focus on heavy rains
stalling production of the vegetable oil limited losses.
Risk appetite waned after Greece decided to put the
country's bailout to a referendum, casting doubt on the euro
zone's plan to stem the debt crisis and prevent economic growth
from stalling.
Palm oil markets derived some support from concerns that
heavy rains at the end of the year could stall harvesting and
inundate estates as export demand remains robust.
Weather offices around the world have confirmed a La Nina
weather phenomenon, which brings heavier-than-usual rains to
Southeast Asia, is developing in the region and will coincide
with the monsoon rains at the end of the year.
"The headswinds from the euro zone sent another chill
through the markets, which pushed an emerging bullish scenario
for palm oil out of the window," said a trader with a foreign
commodities brokerage.
"This will be the pattern for a while. We will have choppy
trading for some time," the trader added.
Benchmark January palm oil futures FCPOc3 on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange settled down 0.5 percent to 2,923
ringgit ($952.738).
Overall traded volumes stood at 21,395 lots at 25 tonnes
each, compared to the usual 25,000 lots as investors remained
cautious over the state of the global economy.
Technicals were slightly bearish, with Reuters analyst Wang
Tao saying palm oil will fall further to 2,881 ringgit per
tonne, as a rebound that started from the Oct. 6 low of 2,754
ringgit has been completed.
Malaysian media on Tuesday cited Malaysia's Deputy Prime
Minister Muhyiddin Yassin as saying weather reports indicated
the impending rains could be "devastating" and the floods could
be the worst in decades.
La Nina-driven floods earlier this year last swamped oil
palm estates in Malaysia's top growing states of southern Johor
bordering Singapore and Sabah on Borneo island in mid-February,
pushing prices to a 2011 high of 3,967 ringgit.
For now, production appears to be strong with traders
expecting Malaysian palm oil stocks to record an increase
despite the strong export data reported for October the previous
day.
"It looks like the fundamentals are going to change again,
the high stocks we have are eventually going to come down if La
Nina storms in," said another Malaysian trader.
Other related markets were under pressure.
Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 fell more than $2 per barrel
on Tuesday on the Greek referendum move.
U.S. soyoil for December delivery dropped 1.2 percent
in Asian trade as strong progress with soybean harvests weighed
on the soy complex.
China's most active May 2012 soybean oil contract <0#DBY:>
also fell on global macro-economic fears.
"From a macro and fundamental perspective, the market's
focus this week would be on the G20 summit," said Huang Zhi
Qiang at Guotai Junan Futures, referring to the meeting in
Cannes, France on Nov. 3-4 that will focus on the euro zone
crisis.
"For now, China's demand for soyoil stays more or less the
same though imports are expected to be higher than the third
quarter," he added.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1008 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL NOV1 2925 -17.00 2925 2944 40
MY PALM OIL DEC1 2925 -19.00 2917 2955 1795
MY PALM OIL JAN2 2923 -15.00 2914 2958 10400
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 7930 -44.00 7910 8000 123014
CHINA SOYOIL MAY2 9172 -68.00 9166 9264 400718
CBOT SOY OIL DEC1 50.55 -0.62 50.50 51.32 5389
NYMEX CRUDE DEC1 90.96 -2.23 90.89 92.88 21114
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.068 Ringgit)
(Additional reporting by Chew Yee Kiat in SINGAPORE; Editing by
Michael Urquhart)