RTRS:METALS-Copper falls on firmer dollar, euro nerves
* Euro drops to lowest in almost a year against dollar
* China's manufacturing activity may contract again in December
* Italian bond yields fall from record at auction
By Susan Thomas
LONDON, Dec 29 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Thursday, for the second
straight day, on a firmer dollar and investor caution over the euro zone
sovereign debt crisis and worries about growth in big metals consumer China.
Copper has fallen 23 percent this year, after a 30 percent gain in 2010 and
a 140 percent jump in 2009, as the euro zone debt crisis slowed credit and
prompted investors to switch to safer assets including the U.S. dollar.
"The news that continues to move the market is the EU debt crisis," said
Credit Suisse analyst Tobias Merath.
"The liquidity story is affecting base metals more than other assets," he
added, pointing to the flight out of assets perceived as risky and the effect
the economic slowdown is having on base metals which are widely used in
industry.
Loans to private sector firms in the euro zone fell in November, European
Central Bank (ECB) data showed on Thursday.
The drop in funding to companies increased fears that the region faces a
looming credit crunch, an issue of growing concern for the ECB as the worsening
sovereign crisis makes firms and households increasingly wary about taking on
debt, weighing on the economic outlook.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.1 percent to
$7,383 a tonne by 1048 GMT, extending a loss of 2.4 percent from the previous
session. Volume was a slim 3,495 lots by late morning ahead of the year-end
holiday weekend, compared with the 50-day moving average of around 20,000 lots.
Worries about the impact of the euro zone problems on copper demand were
compounded by evidence of slowing growth in China, the world's top consumer of
the metal.
China's manufacturing activity may contract again in December, a poll of
economists showed ahead of the official purchasing managers index release on
Jan. 1, suggesting the world's second-largest economy is finishing 2011 on a
weak note amid the global malaise.
Italian bond yields fell from recent record highs at auction on Thursday but
cautious investors still demanded a near 7 percent yield to buy 10-year paper, a
level seen unsustainable over time for the euro zone third-largest economy.
"Today's decline in the auction yield by 'just' about 60 basis points versus
end-November in such a high-yield territory underscores that the genuine
pressure on Italy is still tremendous, despite bold ECB actions that has given
the short ends a big boost," said David Schnautz, rate strategist at Commerzbank
in London.
Analysts also doubt whether domestic progress on reform would be enough to
see Italy smoothly over its refinancing hurdles from January to April.
The dollar strengthened against a basket of currencies as the euro
slid to a 10-year low against the yen and the lowest in nearly a year versus the
dollar on Thursday.
Gains in the dollar can pressure dollar-denominated commodities by making
them more expensive for consumers using other currencies.
"We still think the market will suffer from lack of interest drift over the
next few days and that year end will see more selling pressure if anything as
concerns remain about Europe and a slowdown in China," RBC Base Metals said in a
note to clients.
Three-month aluminium was down 0.8 percent at $1,984.75, after
falling to the lowest since July last year. It closed at $1,999 on Wednesday.
Western world unwrought aluminium stocks rose to 1.456 million tonnes in
November compared with a revised 1.406 million in October, industry data showed
on Wednesday, signalling retreating demand for the metal.
Tin, which has fallen around 44 percent since a record $33,600 hit
in April, rose to $18,900 from $18,600 .
Zinc was $1,812 from $1,810.5 , lead
was $1,959 from $1,960 and nickel was $17,775 from
$17,900.
Metal Prices at 1049 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 335.10 -1.30 -0.39 444.70 -24.65
LME Alum 1982.00 -17.00 -0.85 2470.00 -19.76
LME Cu 7377.25 -87.75 -1.18 9600.00 -23.15
LME Lead 1957.00 -3.00 -0.15 2550.00 -23.25
LME Nickel 17761.00 -744.00 -4.02 24750.00 -28.24
LME Tin 18775.00 175.00 +0.94 26900.00 -30.20
LME Zinc 1813.50 3.00 +0.17 2454.00 -26.10
SHFE Alu 15855.00 -60.00 -0.38 16840.00 -5.85
SHFE Cu* 54220.00 -950.00 -1.72 71850.00 -24.54
SHFE Zin 14575.00 -180.00 -1.22 19475.00 -25.16
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07