RTRS:METALS-Copper on front foot, Greece deal fuels rebound
* China, London copper price spreads signal slack spot
demand
* Money managers added to bullish copper bets last week
* Coming Up: President Obama to submit 2013 budget proposal
Mon
(Updates prices)
By Melanie Burton
SHANGHAI, Feb 13 (Reuters) - London copper rallied on
Monday, recovering from last week's sell-off, after the safe
passage of Greece's austerity bill enhanced the allure of risky
assets.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose
by 0.88 percent to $8,560 a tonne by 0505 GMT, clawing back some
losses from the previous session when prices fell 3 percent.
Copper last week hit its highest level in nearly five months
at $8,765 and has rallied 12 percent so far this year, but last
week, it closed lower on the week for the first time since early
January.
The most-traded May copper contract on the Shanghai Futures
Exchange slipped 1.27 percent to 60,780 yuan a tonne.
Bonnie Liu, analyst at Macquarie, said the passage of a
deeply unpopular austerity bill through the Greek parliament may
have injected some calm into the markets but a further
deterioration in Europe's debt saga could send prices lower,
given lower demand from top copper consumer China.
"Europe's just a mess," said Liu. "After the Chinese new
year, the pace of demand recovery has been slower than expected,
so we have seen the physical markets suffer some pressure.
"If we want to see prices go to the next stage, then we need
to see Chinese demand come back," she said.
Greece's parliament approved the austerity bill on Monday to
secure a second EU/IMF bailout and avoid national bankruptcy, as
buildings burned across central Athens and violence spread
around the country.
Copper futures prices in China showed that local demand
remained slack, with the price differential between London and
Shanghai widening to around $400 per tonne from $300 a tonne on
Friday as Chinese consumers showed reluctance to step in.
Also, the ShFE copper futures curve signalled a lack of spot
appetite for metal, with front-month prices trading well below
third-month prices since early January, having traded at a
premium for most of the second half last year.
"We think that the recent rally across metals, which was
driven by improved funding conditions and the better than
expected US economic data, could lose some steam in the very
near-term," said Credit Suisse Private Banking in a note.
"However, we would also argue that the downside risks should
not be very deep in light of the encouraging macro economic
backdrop compared to only a few months ago."
Some U.S. fund managers, however, continue to buy copper.
Money managers in gold, silver and copper futures and options
raised their net long positions in the week of Feb. 7, as
investor interest in the three metals continued to recover after
a recent disappointing performance.
The world's top aluminium producer, Russia's United Company
RUSAL Plc , said on Monday it may cut
aluminium output by 6 percent in the next 18 months.
But excess capacity in aluminium smelting will drag on for
years to come, even while losses weigh on producers, as
political pressures in China and Russia to keep jobs and push
self-sufficiency prevent or delay plant closures.
Base metals prices at 0505 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move YTD pct chg
LME Cu 8560.00 75.00 +0.88 12.63
SHFE CU FUT MAY2 60780 -780 -1.27 9.79
HG COPPER MAR2 389.50 3.30 +0.85 13.36
LME Alum 2264.50 21.50 +0.96 12.10
SHFE AL FUT MAY2 16300 -25 -0.15 2.87
LME Zinc 2106.00 29.00 +1.40 14.15
SHFE ZN FUT APR2 16035 -95 -0.59 8.38
LME Nickel 21000.00 295.00 +1.42 12.24
LME Lead 2166.50 31.50 +1.48 6.46
SHFE PB FUT 16130.00 -85.00 -0.52 5.53
LME Tin 25150.00 105.00 +0.42 30.99
LME/Shanghai arb^ 2546
Shanghai and COMEX contracts show most active months