RTRS:METALS-Copper steady, heads for biggest weekly gain in a month
* Cash copper at $8 premiums to three-month prices
* Concerns linger about demand outlook from China
* COMING UP: U.S Michigan sentiment for Feb at 1455 GMT
By Harpreet Bhal
LONDON, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Copper steadied on Friday,
with the metal on track to post its biggest weekly gain in a
month, but caution about the outlook for economic growth and
demand from top consumer China kept investors cautious.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal
Exchange (LME) rose 0.1 percent to $8,401 by 1018 GMT, from
Thursday's close of $8,390 a tonne.
The metal used in power and construction is up more than 2
percent for the week so far, its biggest gain since the last
week of January, after a commodity-wide rally on Tuesday as
Greece secured its second bailout package.
Copper is up around 11 percent so far this year, although
investors are finding fewer reasons to stretch the rally with
the European economy heading back into recession and
manufacturing activity in top copper user China continuing to
shrink.
Gains have been partly buoyed by hopes demand from China -
which consumes 40 percent of the world's copper - would pick up
after the Lunar New Year in January. But demand from the
commodity consuming giant has remained slack, raising worry that
prices could retreat sharply.
"There is a lot of anticipation of imminent demand from
China. It's not clear yet that there has been any pickup in
demand since the end of the new year, which is troubling," said
Nic Brown, head of commodity research at Natixis.
Underscoring weak Chinese physical demand, stocks in
Shanghai warehouses hit their highest level in nearly a decade
last week, and dropped by just more than 1,000 tonnes to 216,086
tonnes this week.
But the LME copper market is reflecting a lack of nearby
supply, with cash copper soaring to an $8 premium, against
three-month prices, from a $15 discount last week. .
"It strikes me as the market anticipating some sort of
shortage. We expect there to be substantial deficit in the
copper market this year, in the region of 280,000 tonnes. The
only reason you didn't see that kind of deficit last year is
because there was substantial destocking in China," Brown said.
"It will be interesting to see how any kind of anticipation
of physical shortages by the LME market will square with what
the reality is on the ground in China where it does not look
like there is any strength in demand just yet."
Traders questioned whether the tightness was a bullish
indicator or a result of technical factors such as short
covering, given the lack of demand from China.
EURO GAINS
The euro rose to a fresh 2-1/2 month high against the
dollar, continuing gains after improved German business
sentiment data the previous day and as traders targeted a
reported options barrier.
A weak dollar makes commodities priced in the U.S. unit
cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Lingering concerns about the euro zone debt crisis also kept
the market cautious.
Greece launches a bond swap on Friday, the first step
towards securing funds from the 130 billion euro bailout package
agreed earlier this week, while domestic growth stays hobbled by
harsh austerity measures and opposition in Germany grows.
"Looking ahead, attention will be directed to the G20 summit
this weekend and no doubt, the European economic situation will
feature heavily at the conference," ANZ analysts said in a note.
"Rising oil prices could also get some airplay, with higher
oil prices beginning to be a concern for world leaders."
In other metals, aluminium rose to $2,290 a tonne.
It was untraded at the close on Thursday's, but bid at $2,273 a
tonne.
Zinc climbed to $2,070.25 from a close of $2,048 a
tonne, while lead was at $2,172 from $2,165 a tonne.
Tin was at $24,050 from Thursday's close of $24,195
while nickel rose to $20,078 from $20,000.
Metal Prices at 1021 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 381.25 0.65 +0.17 444.70 -14.27
LME Alum 2288.50 8.50 +0.37 2470.00 -7.35
LME Cu 8397.50 7.50 +0.09 9600.00 -12.53
LME Lead 2171.50 6.50 +0.30 2550.00 -14.84
LME Nickel 20053.00 53.00 +0.27 24750.00 -18.98
LME Tin 24063.00 -132.00 -0.55 26900.00 -10.55
LME Zinc 2069.00 21.00 +1.03 2454.00 -15.69
SHFE Alu 16160.00 -65.00 -0.40 16840.00 -4.04
SHFE Cu* 59620.00 -800.00 -1.32 71850.00 -17.02
SHFE Zin 15805.00 -60.00 -0.38 19475.00 -18.84
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07