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RTRS:METALS-Copper falls as China shaves growth forecast
 
* China targets 2012 GDP growth of 7.5 pct
* Fears grow ahead of Greek debt swap deal
* Coming Up: US non-manufacturing PMI, 1500 GMT

By Maytaal Angel
LONDON, March 5 (Reuters) - Copper fell around 1 percent on Monday,
undermined by news that top copper consumer China has shaved its economic growth
outlook for this year, and by concerns over Greece's progress on completing a
huge debt restructuring deal.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.82 percent to
$8,510 a tonne from $8,580 by 1017 GMT, having risen nearly 13 percent this
year, buttressed by increased liquidity across markets as central banks try to
spur growth.
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao cut his country's growth target to 7.5 percent
for 2012, from the 8 percent set in the previous eight years, to give the
economy room to slow if needed while the government carries out promised
economic and welfare reforms ahead of a looming leadership transition.

"In many respects they're readjusting market (expectations) away from the
fixations on the 8 percent (growth) figure. They're trying to engineer a soft
landing and so far they're on track," said Credit Suisse analyst Tom Kendall.
Looking ahead, Kendall said: "The market is in a wait-and-see mode. As far
as Chinese real demand goes the level of activity post Chinese hasn't been that
strong so we are going to be broadly (trading) sideways for a little while
longer."
Also a concern for markets, euro zone services sector PMI data came in below
expectations as nerves grew ahead of a Thursday deadline for investors to
voluntarily take part in Greece's debt swap deal.
Austria's chancellor told a local newspaper on Sunday that Greece's second
bailout may prove insufficient and a topping up of the euro zone's permanent
bailout fund cannot be ruled out.
But money managers, including hedge funds and other large speculators,
remain optimistic, raising their bullish bets in copper by 2,358 lots to 15,618
contracts in the week to Feb. 28, as the price of the red metal rose.

"It will be important for the sector to get some confirmation that the
economic recovery continues. In this context, all eyes will be on US non-farm
payrolls this Friday," said Credit Suisse in a note.

OPTIMISTIC
Other analysts were more decidedly optimistic, betting that rising copper
stockpiles in China suggest importers are positioning themselves for a recovery
in demand rather an indication of sluggish consumption.
"We don't see further big increases in Shanghai copper stocks because we're
now coming into peak consumption season in China," said Matt Fusarelli, analyst
at AME Group.
"We see structural tightness in the market, we see improving consumption not
only in China but also in the West. The United States will add to copper demand
and we see stabilisation in Europe," he said.
Recent data have showcased improvements in the U.S. housing and labour
markets, spurring expectations of increased U.S. copper demand.
The Chinese economy has also been showing signs of recovery. China's
services sector ran at its fastest pace in four months in February, although
well below its long-term trend, despite an uptick in new business growth to an
eight-month high, according to HSBC's survey of purchasing managers.

In other metals traded, aluminium fell 1.22 percent to $2,299.50 a
tonne from $2,328. The metal remains supported by recent smelter closures,
although as LME stocks data shows, it is still in chronic oversupply.
In industry news, Saudi Arabian Mining Co (Maaden) and U.S.-based
Alcoa have signed a letter of intent for South Korea's Hyundai Engineering and
Construction to build an alumina refinery at their aluminium complex
in Saudi Arabia.
Stainless-steel ingredient nickel fell 0.72 percent to $19,310 a
tonne from $19,450.
"We continue to be friendly to the complex while nickel is of some concern.
While still holding above its 100-day moving average, nickel has not been able
to stage a lasting rally from the lows seen earlier (last) week," RBC Capital
Markets said in a note.
"The metal will need to find some buyers early (this) week or else come
under pressure from the bears as they search for stops below $19,145 followed by
$19,000."
Soldering metal tin fell 2.42 percent to $23,150 a tonne from
$23,725, zinc, used in galvanizing, fell 1.19 percent to $2,093.75 a
tonne from $2,119, while battery material lead dropped 1.58 percent to
$2,148.50 from $2,183.
Metal Prices at 1024 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd Pct

COMEX Cu 387.10 -2.90 -0.74 334.65 15.67
LME Alum 2318.00 -10.00 -0.43 2230.00 3.95
LME Cu 8480.00 -100.00 -1.17 7375.00 14.98
LME Lead 2080.00 -103.00 -4.72 2432.00 -14.47
LME Nickel 20100.00 650.00 +3.34 18525.00 8.50
LME Tin 23720.00 -5.00 -0.02 16950.00 39.94
LME Zinc 2105.00 -14.00 -0.66 2560.00 -17.77
SHFE Alu 16235.00 -35.00 -0.22 17160.00 -5.39
SHFE Cu* 61010.00 -320.00 -0.52 59900.00 1.85
SHFE Zin 16020.00 -55.00 -0.34 21195.00 -24.42
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
Source