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RTRS:Euro and growth currencies slip, yen firmer
 
(Reuters) - The euro and growth-linked currencies fell on Monday, undermined by concerns over Greece's progress on completing a huge debt restructuring deal and poor euro zone economic data, although dealers said the dollar was ripe for some profit-taking.
The dollar pulled away from a nine-month high against the yen having risen more than 7 percent in about a month. The euro was also lower against the safe-haven yen.

Riskier assets like stocks were hit after Asian powerhouse China lowered its growth target, while euro zone surveys of purchasing managers fell from initial estimates, driving the single currency to a two-week low against the dollar.

The euro was down 0.25 percent at $1.3168, with large investors looking to sell it into a bounce to around $1.3200. Many were nervous about Greece's bond swap and uncertainty about the level of private participation, all of which is likely to keep it well below recent peaks of $1.3486.

Bondholders have until March 8 to join an agreement under which they will exchange their existing Greek government bonds for new paper in a swap deal that will see the nominal value of their holdings cut by 53.5 percent.

The positive impact of the European Central Bank's huge injection of three-year loans into banks last week has faded.

"Having topped up at around $1.35, the euro is likely to drift lower with the new range likely to be at $1.25-1.30," said Steve Barrow, head of G10 currency research at Standard Bank.

"With the ECB's long term refinancing out of the way, investors are looking forward to events which are not exactly encouraging for the euro zone. So there maybe a pent up desire to buy dollars."

Not helping the single currency, Spain on Friday set itself a softer budget target for 2012 than originally agreed under the euro zone's austerity drive, putting a question mark over the credibility of the European Union's new fiscal pact.

General elections in Greece and France in the next few months as well as the risk of a recession and prospects of further rate cuts by the European Central Bank are also combining to keep investors wary of the euro.

BNP Paribas analysts said hedge funds and real money accounts were switching their allegiances with regards to favored funding currencies for interest rate carry trades from the U.S. dollar to the euro and to a lesser extent the yen.

That involves borrowing money in those currencies and then selling them to buy others with higher yields.

Since the European Central Bank's second injection of around half a trillion euros of cheap three-year funds last week and a surprise policy easing by the Bank of Japan a few weeks ago, both the euro and the yen have come under pressure.

YEN SELL-OFF ABATES

The sharp yen sell off since mid-January, however, showed signs of taking a breather with the dollar struggling to break above 82 yen and the euro unable to gain above 110 yen.

Latest positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed that the sharp yen sell-off coincided with a reversal in speculative positioning that has flipped to net short positions.

Analysts said with speculators now positioned for a weaker yen, more losses were likely to be small, especially given U.S. interest rates would not rise in a hurry. The dollar/yen pair has a tight relationship with the two-year spreads between the U.S. Treasuries and Japanese government bond yields.

The dollar fell 0.7 percent versus the yen to 81.23 yen, retreating from a high of 81.873 yen on Friday on trading platform EBS, the weakest level for the Japanese currency since late May 2011. As of Friday, the dollar had risen by about 7.7 percent from a three-month low hit near 76 yen in early February.

On Monday, yen buying by offshore institutional investors also weighed on the dollar, which extended its losses after triggering some stop-loss sell orders at levels below 81.50 yen, traders said.

"There is perhaps a little more room for dollar/yen to go higher in the next few days, with short-term players now going short yen, but we see the upside limited," said Christopher Gothard, head of FX for Brown Brothers Harriman in Hong Kong.

The next major hurdle is seen at the 100-week moving average around 82.10 yen or so.

Meanwhile, the growth currencies like the Australian and New Zealand were lower against the dollar. The Aussie was down 0.5 percent at $1.0680 while the kiwi shed 0.8 percent to trade at $0.8233 as global stock markets came under some downward pressure.

(Additional reporting by Masayuki Kitano in Singapore; Editing by Patrick Graham)
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