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RTRS:FOREX-Euro knocked by euro zone factory gloom
 
* Falls vs dlr as euro manufacturing slides
* Figures contrast with strong US factory data
* U.S. jobs, ECB, votes in France and Greece in focus
By Jessica Mortimer
LONDON, May 2 (Reuters) - The euro fell on Wednesday after
weak data raised concerns about a deep and prolonged slowdown in
the euro zone, looking vulnerable ahead of elections in France
and Greece that could dent austerity plans drawn up to beat the
debt crisis.
The manufacturing data contrasted with better U.S. factory
numbers a day earlier and weighed heavily on the euro.
The fact that Wednesday's readings were weak not just in
indebted peripheral states but in core nations too raised
speculation over possible policy signals at Thursday's European
Central Bank meeting.
Italy's manufacturing sector shrank far more than expected,
with new orders tumbling at their fastest rate in three years,
while data out of Germany, Spain and France also showed factory
activity falling significantly.
The euro fell 0.8 percent to hit $1.3130, its lowest
in more than a week, though volumes were thin after the May Day
holiday in Europe and traders said this could cause exaggerated
moves.
The single currency dropped well below a one-month peak of
$1.3284 hit on Tuesday, but it stayed above chart support at the
100-day moving average around $1.3116 and was last trading at
$1.3146.
"The PMI numbers were pretty dreadful ... There is clear
pressure on euro/dollar now and it is looking likely to fall
towards $1.31, the lower end of the recent range" said Jennifer
Hau, currency strategist at Lloyds.
"There is no expected policy change from the ECB but the
market will be looking at what (bank governor Mario) Draghi says
about the weaker numbers and about possible further steps it may
take".
The ECB meets on Thursday in Spain, with pressure back on
the bank to use bond buying and other measures to shield weaker
euro members from additional pain. While it is widely forecast
to keep interest rates unchanged, expectations it may soon cut
borrowing costs are rising, eroding the euro's interest rate
advantage.
The euro was also hurt by data that showed the euro zone
labour market continued to worsen as unemployment rose to match
its record high of 10.9 percent last seen 15 years ago.

The focus later on Wednesday will shift to U.S. private
payrolls figures due at 1215 GMT, an indicator of the health of
the jobs market before non-farm payrolls numbers are released on
Friday.. On Tuesday, data from the Institute for Supply
Management showed U.S. manufacturing grew in April at the
strongest rate in 10 months.

RISKS AHEAD
With elections looming in Europe, political uncertainty has
the potential to push the euro below $1.30 in coming weeks.
It hit a two-week low against the safe-haven yen, dropping
to 105.43 yen, and a 22-month low against the British pound
.
Francois Hollande, front-runner and first-round winner in
the French presidential race, has promised to shift the debate
in Europe towards promoting growth if he is elected, raising
concern about tensions between Germany and France.
But others have played down such fears, saying Germany
appears to be relaxing its focus on austerity.
Morgan Stanley strategists said the soft PMI numbers will
fuel the political debate about modifying austerity measures
that are threatening to deepen a euro zone slowdown.
"Such uncertainty will likely prompt euro to trade with a
higher risk premium, in our view," the bank said. It has
recommended investors to sell the euro against the dollar with a
target of $1.3000.
The election in Greece is more unpredictable. The two main
parties supporting the country's bailout scheme are thought to
have only a wafer-thin lead to form a coalition over smaller
parties opposed to the programme.
Tuesday's better U.S. data also helped the dollar rise 0.25
percent against the yen to 80.28, taking it off a 2-1/2
month low of 79.640 yen hit on Tuesday.
Pressure on the yen increased after a Moody's ratings agency
official said Japan's delay in implementing a sales tax increase
could bring forward "the day of reckoning" in the Japanese
government bond market.

(additional reporting by Anirban Nag; Editing by Toby Chopra,
John Stonestreet)

Source