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RTRS:GRAINS-US corn at 14-month low on supply outlook, soy falls
 
* Corn hit fresh 14-month low after USDA report
* Soy falls after rising on f'cast of tight stocks
* U.S. sees surge in corn stocks, fewer soybeans
* European milling wheat edge higher in thin volume

By Colin Packham and Svetlana Kovalyova
SYDNEY/MILAN, May 11 (Reuters) - Chicago corn hit a fresh
14-month low on Friday, after the United States predicted stocks
would climb this autumn to their highest in seven years, while
soybeans fell as investors booked profits after the previous
session's gains.
"In Chicago funds are continuing to sell corn. They're now
playing the selling card on cereals as a whole," a European
futures trader said.
"Overall sentiment is bearish on the market with good
harvest prospects. But yield forecasts are high so we are going
to have to monitor the weather going forward. In addition we've
got the macro-economic mood weighing," the trader said.
Markets have been alarmed that anti-austerity votes in
Greece and France could drag the euro zone down after cheap
central bank loans and plans for bigger bailout funds had
appeared to help the bloc avoid the worst.
Chicago Board Of Trade July corn futures slipped 0.81
percent to $5.82-3/4 a bushel by 1104 GMT, the lowest level
since March 17, 2011.
July soybeans fell 1.1 percent to $14.39-1/4 a bushel,
after climbing 1.7 percent in the previous session as the U.S.
Department of Agriculture estimated record-large exports next
season, shrinking the U.S. stocks to lowest in four years.
"There is the macro-economic sentiment and falling prices of
crude oil and vegetable oils," the trader said.
U.S. July wheat fell 0.5 percent to $5.98-1/4 a
bushel. In Europe, Euronext benchmark new crop November wheat
rose 0.75 euros or 0.38 percent to 196.25 euros a tonne
in thin volumes.
The USDA's first estimates for this year's harvest and next
year's demand showed domestic corn stocks will surge from a near
record low this year to a seven-year high by September 2013,
aided by expected record yields as farmers sprinted to plant an
early crop.
"The report was very bearish for corn. Analysts saw it as
neutral for wheat but I viewed it as more bullish," the trader
said, referring to the USDA's forecasts for lower U.S. and world
wheat stocks next season.
A record-large autumn 14.79-billion-bushel harvest in the
United States, boosted by an unexpectedly high
166-bushel-per-acre yield, will send stocks to 1.881 billion
bushels by the end of next season, USDA said in its monthly
report.
For this year, the USDA surprised the market by raising its
corn ending stocks estimate to 851 million bushels, still the
tightest in 16 years but well above trade expectations for a
drop to 749 million.

* Prices as of 1059 GMT

Product Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct

Paris wheat 196.50 1.00 +0.51 195.25 0.64
London wheat 148.05 -0.45 -0.30 153.65 -3.64
Paris maize 211.00 -0.25 -0.12 197.25 6.97
Paris rape 475.50 -4.50 -0.94 421.50 12.81
CBOT corn 623.50 -2.00 -0.32 654.75 -4.77
CBOT soybeans 1432.00 -20.25 -1.39 1207.75 18.57
Crude oil 95.93 -1.15 -1.18 98.83 -2.93
Euro/dlr 1.29 0.00 -0.02 1.30 -0.17
* All grain and oilseed prices for second position. Paris futures prices in
Euros per tonne, London wheat in pounds per tonne and CBOT in cents per bushel.





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