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RTRS: METALS-Copper slips on euro zone caution, Fed policy eyed
 
* Aluminium hits two-year low at $1,905 on supply glut
* U.S. recovery risks could steer Fed to launch stimulus
* COMING UP: U.S. Federal Reserve rate decision

By Harpreet Bhal and Melanie Burton
LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Wednesday as
concerns about spreading European sovereign debt troubles kept
investors cautious, although hopes the Federal Reserve could
offer more stimulus for the U.S. economy helped support the
outlook for demand and limit falls in base metals.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange
(LME) fell by 0.8 percent to $7,547 at 1438 GMT, down from
Tuesday's close of $7,609 a tonne.
The metal used in power and construction is down more than
10 percent so far this quarter and is trading around one percent
lower for the year to date. Aluminium fell alongside energy
prices to a new two-year low.
Fears lingered that Spain's debt crisis could spiral out of
control, with its soaring borrowing costs showing that a euro
zone deal to lend its banks up to 100 billion euros ($126
billion) had not solved its problems or restored investor
confidence. It also suggests more aid may be needed to fix its
finances.
"The markets are now really very short, but there is a
reason for that. Sentiment has really deteriorated about the
growth outlook and people now are more concerned about China
than they were even a few months ago," analyst Gayle Berry of
Barclays Capital said.
"Risks are going to stay until there is some real action on
sovereign debt. Some of the short covering we saw yesterday has
eased off as well," she added.
The U.S. Federal Reserve concludes a two-day policy meeting
on Wednesday, and expectations are high that the central bank
will extend its bond-buying programme dubbed "Operation Twist"
to shore up the economy.
The liquidity hit provided by previous doses of Fed stimulus
has lifted riskier assets, and financial markets have become
highly sensitive to expectations of further moves, with global
equities and commodities tending to rise and the dollar coming
under pressure when action is seen as increasingly likely.
"Should the Fed announce more QE, indications are that gold,
silver, Brent and aluminium are likely to move higher with the
most certainty," Standard Bank said in a note.
"We also note that metals where we may see some short-
covering are likely to perform better in the very short term...
Looking at LME open interest and price behavior, we believe
that, like platinum, lead and nickel may see the most
short-covering should commodities rally strongly."



ALUMINIUM TROUGH
Aluminium fell to its lowest since June 2010 at $1,905 a
tonne, tracking copper and energy, and due to a glut of
oversupply.
Producers have kept smelters churning despite the tenuous
outlook for global growth due to high demand for their products
from financiers who are able to lock in small but low risk
profit as set costs for storage and capital costs fall below the
aluminium forward price curve.
Daily average primary aluminium output in May dropped to
67,900 tonnes compared with a revised 68,100 in April and 69,900
in May 2011, provisional figures from the International
Aluminium Institute (IAI) showed.
"The IAI production data for May released today suggests
that apparent demand for aluminium was strong in May," an
analyst at a U.S. fund said.
"Although demand is holding at decent levels, unless we get
supply cuts and/or increased monetary stimulus soon, aluminium
might be a victim of further price falls. CTAs (momentum
sellers) are selling as they anticipate poor northern hemisphere
summer demand," he added.
Aluminium traded at $1,908.50 from $1,925.50.
In other metals, zinc traded at $1,881.75 a tonne
from Tuesday's close of $1,899 while nickel was at
$17,012 from $17,095 a tonne.
Tin changed hands at $19,240 from Tuesday's close of
$19,530. Lead was $1,896.50 from Tuesday's close of
$1,912.50.

Metal Prices at 1450 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 340.85 -2.50 -0.73 344.75 -1.13
LME Alum 1907.75 -17.75 -0.92 2020.00 -5.56
LME Cu 7549.00 -60.00 -0.79 7600.00 -0.67
LME Lead 1896.50 -16.00 -0.84 2034.00 -6.76
LME Nickel 16974.00 -121.00 -0.71 18650.00 -8.99
LME Tin 19217.00 -313.00 -1.60 19200.00 0.09
LME Zinc 1880.00 -19.00 -1.00 1845.00 1.90
SHFE Alu 15755.00 105.00 +0.67 15845.00 -0.57
SHFE Cu* 55220.00 310.00 +0.56 55360.00 -0.25
SHFE Zin 14930.00 70.00 +0.47 14795.00 0.91
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
Source