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RTRS:METALS-Copper hits 6-month low on shaky economic outlook
 
* Euro's big four seek way out of crisis in Rome
* German business sentiment falls to 2-year low
* Metals producers review expansion projects

By Susan Thomas
LONDON, June 22 (Reuters) - Copper hit its lowest in six months on Friday,
swept lower with other financial markets as weak German and U.S. data and a
downgrade to some of the world's major banks deepened concerns about the global
economy and demand for raw materials.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange extended losses into
a third straight session, falling 0.7 percent to $7,289 a tonne by 0948 GMT. It
touched a session low of $7,219.50, its weakest since Dec. 19, 2011.
Investors have been retreating from riskier assets after China's factory
sector shrank for an eighth straight month, business activity in the euro area
contracted for a fifth month and U.S. manufacturing grew at its slowest pace in
11 months.
German business sentiment fell to its lowest level in over two years, and
Moody's cut the credit ratings of 15 global banks including JPMorgan and
Morgan Stanley.
"Markets are falling across the board on a whole lot of negative macro news
flow out yesterday, in particular from China and United States. That seems to be
the focus point at the moment," said Macquarie commodities analyst Duncan Hobbs.
Oil touched its lowest in 18 months and European stocks fell after data
showing German business sentiment fell for a second straight month in June to
its lowest level in over two years.
Copper has lost more than 14 percent this quarter and analysts see room for
the industrial metal to drop further.
"Commodity prices have come off quite substantially over the last few months
so we would expect them to reach the natural bottom, but notwithstanding more
shocks, the risks are still to the downside," said Matt Fusarelli, analyst at
Australia-based consultancy AME Group.
A firmer dollar, which makes dollar-priced assets more costly for users of
other currencies, also weighed on copper and the other base metals.
Chinese players were away for a public holiday, helping hold off what could
have been a big sell-off in Chinese markets in response to the slide in global
markets overnight.
Ahead of a summit in Brussels next week, leaders of Germany, France, Italy
and Spain will meet in Rome on Friday, hopefully to find ways to restore
confidence in the euro zone.

BLESSING IN DISGUISE
The sharp decline in industrial metals prices has prompted many producers to
review expansion projects, with some getting postponed until a clearer demand
picture emerges.
That might be eventually good for prices, said AME's Fusarelli.
"The longer that we see prices depressed, a lot of the planned projects will
be re-examined so a lot of the oversupply which we think was expected in 2014,
say for copper, there's now a question mark around it.
"For a lot of the producers, the current market movements may in turn be a
blessing in disguise," he said.
In aluminium, for example, Fusarelli said because current prices means
nearly three quarters of the world's capacity is either breaking even or loss
making, many smelters have shut down, some of them permanently.
Aluminium smelters in China's Xinjiang province have as much as halved their
capacity expansion plans for 2012 due to low metal prices and costly power,
analysts say. China is the world's top producer and user of the metal.
Aluminium was up 0.3 percent at $1,875 a tonne, after hitting a
two-year low of $1,854. It closed at $1,870 on Thursday.
For now, base metals prices may fall further before any strong rally sets
in, with Chinese demand also staying sluggish.
A fall in LME copper prices to six-month lows earlier this month helped
narrow the price gap between Chinese and international copper prices,
encouraging local traders to export excess inventory.
In May, China exported 102,375 tonnes of refined copper, nearly four times
more than in April, with most of the shipments bound for South Korea. MTL/CHINA1
Tin was at $18,549 from $18,800 at the close on Thursday while zinc
was at $1,814 f rom $1,824. Lead was at $1,820 f rom $1,827, and
nickel was $16,351 from $16,450.
Metal Prices at 0941 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 328.35 -1.45 -0.44 344.75 -4.76
LME Alum 1875.50 5.50 +0.29 2020.00 -7.15
LME Cu 7284.25 -56.75 -0.77 7600.00 -4.15
LME Lead 1820.50 -6.50 -0.36 2034.00 -10.50
LME Nickel 16337.00 -113.00 -0.69 18650.00 -12.40
LME Tin 18480.00 -320.00 -1.70 19200.00 -3.75
LME Zinc 1813.25 -10.75 -0.59 1845.00 -1.72
SHFE Alu 15560.00 -195.00 -1.24 15845.00 -1.80
SHFE Cu* 54350.00 -870.00 -1.58 55360.00 -1.82
SHFE Zin 14630.00 -300.00 -2.01 14795.00 -1.12
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
Source