MW:Dollar, euro rise modestly in quiet pre-data trade
By Michael Kitchen, MarketWatch
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) — The euro and dollar edged higher against most major currencies ahead of key European and U.S. data, while the pound and Australian dollar slipped in quiet foreign-exchange trade in Asia hours Monday.
The ICE dollar index DXY +0.12% , which tracks the greenback against six other units, rose to 82.573 from its 82.541 level late Friday in North America. The rival WSJ dollar index XX:BUXX +0.10% , which uses a wider comparison basket of currencies, inched up to 71.63 from 71.61.
The euro EURUSD -0.13% also firmed slightly, rising to $1.2291 from $1.2287 late Friday.
Market focus was turning toward two data releases due out Tuesday: U.S. retail sales and euro-zone gross domestic product.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch held a median expectation for July retail sales to rise 0.2% after dropping 0.5% in June.
However, analysts at RBC Capital Markets tipped the result to come in better than the consensus view, “largely a function of the fact that we have been on a major losing streak in retail sales and that back-to-school shopping looks likely to be firmer than recent history.”
Still, they said that a strong gain for U.S. retail would “add to the muddied water” in terms of whether the Federal Reserve will embark on another round of quantitative easing in September.
As for the euro-zone GDP, RBC tipped a 0.3% quarter-on-quarter drop, “thereby leaving the economy on course to enter technical recession later this year.”
Among other major pairs Monday, the Japanese yen was little changed — with the dollar USDJPY +0.07% buying ¥78.27, as it did late Friday — after the market shrugged off worse-than-expected April-June economic growth data released early in the day. Read more on Japanese growth data.
The British pound GBPUSD -0.05% slipped 0.1% during the Asia day Monday to trade at $1.5670, while the Australian dollar AUDUSD -0.12% fell to $1.0553 from late Friday’s $1.0572.
Michael Kitchen is Asia editor for MarketWatch and is based in Los Angeles.