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RTRS: UPDATE 1-U.S. natgas seesaws early, storm shut-ins support
 
* Front month still well below recent 7-1/2-month high
* Warm weather also on tap for consuming regions
* Storm Isaac nearly a hurricane, heads for U.S. Gulf coast
* Coming Up: API oil data Tuesday, EIA oil data Wednesday

(Recasts, adds cash prices, hurricane graphic, updates futures
prices)
By Eileen Houlihan
NEW YORK, Aug 28 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures
seesawed on either side of unchanged early Tuesday, edging
briefly higher amid warm weather in consuming regions of the
nation and shut-in production from Tropical Storm Isaac.
But most traders expect Gulf of Mexico shut in production
from Isaac to be temporary, with the storm only expected to
strengthen into a low-level hurricane.
The storm was expected to move ashore late Tuesday or early
Wednesday near southeastern Louisiana. It had already caused the
shut-in of almost half of Gulf Coast natural gas production.

(Reuters Hurricane Tracker - here)
Strong nuclear power plant outages were also adding support.
But most traders expect prices to have a hard time breaking
back above $3 per million British thermal units, the level where
gas loses much of its appeal over coal for power generation.
As of 9:30 a.m. EDT (1330 GMT), front-month September
natural gas futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange
were at $2.665 per mmBtu, up 1.2 cents.
The nearby contract peaked at $3.277 in late July, its
highest mark since December.
In the cash market, gas bound for the NYMEX delivery point
Henry Hub NG-W-HH in Louisiana was heard down 9 cents early at
$2.71 on volume near 536 million cubic feet. Early cash deals
also eased slightly to about 8 cents over the front month, from
a 9-cent premium late Monday.
Gas on the Transco pipeline at the New York citygate
NG-NYCZ6 was heard down 7 cents at $2.84 on volume near 239
mmcf.
The National Weather Service's six- to 10-day outlook issued
on Monday again called for above-normal temperatures across
nearly the entire nation, with below-normal readings only on the
West Coast.
On the nuclear front, total outages were about 8,600
megawatts, or 9 percent of U.S. capacity on Tuesday, up from
7,800 MW out on Monday and a five-year outage rate of about
5,900 MW, but down from 10,600 MW out a year-ago.


STORAGE STILL BLOATED
Last week's gas storage report from the U.S. Energy
Information Administration showed total domestic gas inventories
rose the previous week by 47 billion cubic feet to 3.308
trillion cubic feet.
(Storage graphic: link.reuters.com/mup44s)
Despite the build coming in above weekly expectations for a
38-bcf gain, it was below both last year's rise of 66 bcf and a
five-year average gain of 53 bcf for that week, a 17th straight
week storage builds have fallen below seasonal norms.
The build trimmed the surplus to last year to 423 bcf, or 15
percent, above the same week in 2011. It also cut the excess
versus the five-year average to 357 bcf, or 12 percent.
While a huge inventory surplus, which peaked in late March
at nearly 900 bcf above a year earlier, has been cut in half,
storage remains at record highs for this time of year.
At 81 percent full, stocks are at levels not normally
reached until the third week of September and offer a huge
cushion that can help offset any weather-related spikes in
demand or Gulf Coast supply disruptions from storms.
With summer heat winding down, concerns remain that the
storage overhang could drive prices to new lows this autumn if
inventories climb to levels that test the government's 4.1-tcf
estimate of capacity.
Early injection estimates for this week's EIA report range
from 46 bcf to 74 bcf versus a year-earlier build of 60 bcf and
the five-year average increase for the week of 62 bcf.

DRILLING RIGS EDGE UP FROM 13-YEAR LOW
The number of rigs drilling for natural gas in the U.S. rose
last week for the first time in seven weeks, rising two from the
previous week's 13-year low to 486, data from Houston-based oil
services firm Baker Hughes showed on Friday.
(Graphic: r.reuters.com/dyb62s)
The count rose for only the sixth time this year. The nearly
steady decline in gas-directed drilling over the last 10 months
has fed expectations that producers were getting serious about
stemming the flood of record supplies. But so far there is
little evidence that gas output is slowing.

(Reporting by Eileen Houlihan; Editing by Sofina Mirza-Reid)
Source