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RTRS: Euro climbs versus dollar on ECB, Bernanke speculation
 
* Talk of U.S. bank betting on euro rise to $1.2675
* Investors await Bernanke speech, ECB meeting
* Bernanke set to sustain easing expectations

By Wanfeng Zhou
NEW YORK, Aug 28 (Reuters) - The euro rose against the
dollar for the first time in three days on Tuesday, buoyed by
hopes of bond-buying by the European Central Bank to contain the
debt crisis and expectations of further easing by the Federal
Reserve.
Investors awaited key events in the coming days and weeks,
including a speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday, a
policy meeting by the ECB on Sept. 6 and the German
Constitutional Court's ruling on the euro zone's permanent
bailout fund on Sept. 12.
Bernanke is expected to sustain expectations for a third
round of quantitative easing (QE), though he could keep markets
guessing about the timing of such an action. Further QE bodes
ill for the dollar as it is tantamount to printing money.
"Keep in mind that the third-quarter rebound is not as
robust as some had hoped so far and that there is a lot of data
that will come out before the September (Fed) meeting," said
Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at BNY Mellon in
New York.
"If he does confirm or make comments that are consistent
with further monetary easing, then that would be viewed as
negative for the dollar and positive for risk."
The euro rose 0.5 percent to $1.2567, having hit a
session peak of $1.2573, not far from a seven-week high set on
Reuters data last week. Strong resistance for euro/dollar lies
around $1.2600, the 100-day moving average of 1.2601.
Traders said liquidity was thin and that the euro's gains
were fueled by a large U.S. investment bank buying a one-month
euro/dollar option with a strike price at $1.2675, suggesting
the euro could rise to those levels in coming weeks.
"There's a very large euro call (option) that has been the
catalyst for the rise but I think we will play the ranges this
week," said Richard Wiltshire, chief FX broker at ETX Capital.
"Everyone will sit on their hands ... until we get some kind
of interest from Jackson Hole. Negative news from the euro zone
seems to have abated a little bit."
Market players also trimmed bets in favor of the dollar
after a media report flagged the possibility of a downgrade to
the U.S. credit rating.
On Tuesday, the euro also climbed 0.3 percent to 98.74 yen
. The dollar fell 0.1 percent to 78.63 yen.
The dollar has come under pressure against most major
currencies, including the euro, since minutes last week of the
U.S. central bank's latest policy meeting suggested the Fed
could launch another round of stimulus fairly soon.
ECB President Mario Draghi was also scheduled to speak at
Jackson Hole, but cancelled his appearance on Tuesday, citing a
heavy workload.
The euro has staged a recovery since European Central Bank
chief Mario Draghi said he would do whatever it took to preserve
the euro. But the rally appeared to be waning with details of
the ECB's plan to buy peripheral euro zone debt still uncertain.
Germany's powerful Bundesbank opposes bond buying, although
top ECB official Joerg Asmussen said on Monday that policymakers
would tailor the new plan to dispel concerns it funds
governments.
Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign
Exchange in Washington, warned of the risk of disappointment.
"Given that market expectations remain so elevated, the risk
of disappointment remains high. Lack of Fed QE3 or a
watered-down plan from the ECB would leave the euro vulnerable,"
he said.
Source