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RTRS:Kenyan shilling drops to 2-month low vs dollar, rate cut eyed
 
NAIROBI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Kenyan shilling
weakened to a two-month low against the dollar on Tuesday,
breaking through the 84.50 resistance level as banks and
importers bought greenbacks in anticipation of a large rate cut
by the central bank.
At 0642 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at
84.60/70 per dollar, a level last touched on July 6, and 0.4
percent weaker than Monday's close of 84.20/40.
Traders said the local currency was expected to weaken
further ahead of Wednesday's interest rate decision by the
central bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).
"A bit of client activity since late yesterday triggered
interbank short covering. The shilling could touch 85.00 easily
even before the MPC decision comes out," said Duncan Kinuthia,
head of trading at Commercial Bank of Africa.
A Reuters poll of nine analysts and traders returned a
consensus forecast of a 300 basis point cut in the central bank
rate after year-on-year inflation fell
sharply in August to 6.09 percent, the lowest level since
January 2011.
Typically, low interest rates make credit cheaper for
importers and easier for commercial banks to hold long dollar
positions, putting the shilling under pressure.
"The move above 84.50 was bound to see some short covering
from banks," added Dickson Magecha, a trader at Standard
Chartered Bank.
Source