RTRS:METALS-Copper slips ahead of China data, EU summit
* Market jittery ahead of China GDP data due to be weak
* Losses limited as Spain retains investment-grade debt rating
* Dollar index hits 1-month low
* Coming Up: U.S. Sep. housing starts; 1230 GMT
(Adds quotes, details; previous SHANGHAI)
By Eric Onstad
LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Copper edged lower on Wednesday after two days of
gains ahead of Chinese data due to show slower growth and amid uncertainty about
whether a European summit will make progress in solving the region's debt
crisis.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.2 percent to
$8,109 a tonne by 1020 GMT, giving up earlier gains when it touched an intraday
high of $8,182.
The market, sapped of liquidity during LME Week when many participants are
in meetings and attending receptions, has tested the bottom of its recent range
of about $8,100 to $8400 over the past few days.
A two-day European Union summit starts on Thursday, which may focus
attention on disputes over closer fiscal union as a long-term solution to the
euro zone crisis.
"I'm not sure we're any closer to any sort of agreement and with the lower
interest rates on peripheral debt across Europe the incentive to do something
now is reduced," said Nic Brown, head of commodities research at Natixis in
London.
"It's all simmering along... but it would certainly be a step forward if
Spain did move to request assistance."
Copper found support on its probes to the downside from a weaker dollar and
as news emerged from Moody's Investors Service affirming Spain's investment
grade rating.
The euro's strength pushed the dollar index down to a one-month low, making
dollar-denominated commodities like London copper cheaper for holders of other
currencies.
Also helping to support base metals prices was a report by Kyodo News that
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda plans a new round of economic stimulus by
the end of next month as the country has entered a lull. The report quoted
sources close to the prime minister.
The market was also digesting indications that the copper market would be
better supplied next year from annual talks about premiums and treatment and
refining charges (TC/RCs), Brown said.
The TC/RCs are expected to rise moderately to around $70 per tonne and 7
cents per pound and premiums to fall by about $5 a tonne.
"That's a sign that the copper market is a little bit better supplied with
ores and concentrates going forward, that the market is not quite as tight as
has been over the past year," Brown said.
Signs of better copper supply next year was supported when BHP Billiton, the
world's No.2 copper producer, said copper production in the quarter rose 24
percent from a year ago, with its majority-owned Escondida mine in Chile headed
for a 20 percent production increase in fiscal 2013.
WORRY ABOUT CHINA GDP
In China, the most active January copper contract on the Shanghai Futures
Exchange edged down 0.2 percent to close at 58,660 yuan ($9,400) per
tonne.
"Shanghai base metals have resisted rising... there has been a feeling of
uncertainty in China ahead of GDP figures tomorrow and the 18th Communist Party
Congress, which made investors more inclined to sell today," the trader added.
Economists polled by Reuters indicated China's annual economic growth
probably slowed for a seventh straight quarter in the July-September period to
expand 7.4 percent, the weakest level since the depths of the global financial
crisis.
In the physical markets, traders said spot copper demand was still
lacklustre, with the day's spot-to-front-month discount doubling from Tuesday to
as high as 200 yuan.
Broker Marex Spectron noted tightness in aluminium December futures, with
December at a premium of $2.15 over the three month contract CMALZ2-3.
Triland also pointed out the tightness and said in its evening note: "We
recommend to monitor this closely and use eventual contangos to protect against
a situation we had during September this year."
Three-month aluminium rose 0.2 percent to $1,961.25 per tonne.
Stocks data showed a large fresh net cancellation of 63,550 tonnes in Antwerp.
MALSTX-TOTAL.
Galvanizing metal zinc ticked 0.2 percent firmer to $1,901 a tonne
and battery material lead added 0.2 percent to $2,117.
Tin shed 0.9 percent to $21,300 a tonne and stainless steel
ingredient nickel fell 0.2 percent to $16,900.
Metal Prices at 1036 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 369.50 -0.60 -0.16 344.75 7.18
LME Alum 1961.75 4.75 +0.24 2020.00 -2.88
LME Cu 8122.75 -2.25 -0.03 7600.00 6.88
LME Lead 2117.50 4.50 +0.21 2034.00 4.11
LME Nickel 16892.00 -38.00 -0.22 18650.00 -9.43
LME Tin 21200.00 -300.00 -1.40 19200.00 10.42
LME Zinc 1900.50 2.50 +0.13 1845.00 3.01
SHFE Alu 15490.00 -25.00 -0.16 15845.00 -2.24
SHFE Cu* 58660.00 -130.00 -0.22 55360.00 5.96
SHFE Zin 15120.00 -75.00 -0.49 14795.00 2.20
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07