RTRS:REFILE-METALS-Copper falls on China demand concerns, dollar limits fall
* Weak demand reflected in rising China copper inventories
* Greece agreement, weaker dollar help limit metals losses
* Deals likely in Shanghai next week for 2013 copper term shipments
By Susan Thomas
LONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Copper dipped on Friday on concerns over weak
demand, especially in top metals consumer China, although a weaker dollar and
improving investor confidence over an agreement between international lenders on
new measures to cut Greece's debt pile limited losses.
Recent data from China and the United States also brought better news for
the global economy. Factories in the two countries returned to growth, although
the euro zone economy is still on course for its deepest downturn since early
2009.
Demand for industrial metals such as copper has weakened this year as
China's economic growth has been impacted by the decline in manufacturing
activity in Europe, its main export market.
Weak domestic demand in China is reflected in its rising stockpiles of
copper, which hit a record of over one million tonnes last week and is expected
to rise by around 100,000 tonnes by the end of the year.
This is likely to weigh on benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) copper
prices. Three-month copper on the LME was $7,703 per tonne at 1106 GMT,
down 0.15 percent from Thursday's close of $7,715. It is on track for a second
month of losses.
"The U.S. dollar has strengthened, global risk appetite is muted and China
has been building inventory across a number of markets, highlighting lacklustre
demand," Standard Chartered analyst Dan Smith said.
"We expect to see further increases heading into year-end, hence imports are
likely to remain weak."
While the dollar was down 0.4 percent against a basket of currencies
on Friday, it is still up around 3 percent higher from mid September. The euro
rose to a three-week high versus the dollar, on optimism that Greece's lenders
were nearing an agreement that will release aid.
A weaker dollar makes commodities priced in the unit less expensive for
holders of other currencies.
TACTICAL VIEW
Credit Suisse has upgraded its tactical view on commodities to positive, it
said in a note on Friday.
"We think the sector could see further moderate gains toward year-end.
Leading indicators show that economic growth has bottomed. This is positive for
cyclical assets like commodities," it said.
Still, volumes were modest after Thursday's Thanksgiving holiday in the
United States, with copper trading just over 5,000 lots by 1115 GMT.
Next week, the copper industry meets in Shanghai during Asia Copper Week, as
Chinese buyers hammer out terms with Chile's Codelco and BHP Billiton,
among others, for 2013 term shipments and processing fees.
Traders say Chinese buyers and smelters have a stronger hand this year,
given slowing demand and rising supply.
In term talks this year, Codelco has offered Japanese copper customers a
2013 term premium of $85 a tonne, down 9 percent from its 2012 premium,
reflecting a slowdown in demand in Japan and the global economy.
Tin was at $20,540 from a last bid of $20,455 on Thursday, while
zinc, used in galvanizing was at $1,937 f rom a close of $1,925.
Battery material lead was at $2,169 from $2,165 and
aluminium was at $1,953 from $1,944.50. Nickel was at $16,603
from $16,550.
Metal Prices at 1134 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 349.50 -0.10 -0.03 344.75 1.38
LME Alum 1952.50 8.00 +0.41 2020.00 -3.34
LME Cu 7705.50 -9.50 -0.12 7600.00 1.39
LME Lead 2168.00 3.00 +0.14 2034.00 6.59
LME Nickel 16590.00 40.00 +0.24 18650.00 -11.05
LME Tin 20500.00 75.00 +0.37 19200.00 6.77
LME Zinc 1935.50 10.50 +0.55 1845.00 4.91
SHFE Alu 15340.00 5.00 +0.03 15845.00 -3.19
SHFE Cu* 56140.00 100.00 +0.18 55360.00 1.41
SHFE Zin 15045.00 50.00 +0.33 14795.00 1.69
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07