RTRS: METALS-Copper rises after steep fall, US budget fears remain
* Volumes low as year-end holiday season draws near
* U.S. budget talks prompt uncertainty
* Coming up: U.S. durable goods data for Nov at 1330 GMT
By Harpreet Bhal
LONDON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - Copper prices edged up on Friday from steep falls
in the previous session, although investors remained nervous that the United
States would not be able to avert a fiscal crisis, which could push the world's
largest economy into recession.
Trading volumes were thin, however, as markets wound down for the year-end
holiday season.
Investors have been closely watching talks in recent weeks between the White
House and Republican lawmakers to avert the "fiscal cliff" - $600 billion worth
of tax hikes and spending cuts that are set to be triggered in the new year.
In the latest move, a proposal from Republican leader John Boehner to avoid
the cliff failed to get support from his party, casting fresh uncertainty over
the talks.
"You're likely to see a resolution to that relatively soon ... but with the
latest uncertain developments overnight, you could see market jitters increase,
and I would expect that to be negative for industrial metals," Ross Strachan, an
economist at Capital Economics, said.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was untraded
in rings but was bid at $7,791 a tonne, up from a close of $7,772 on Thursday
when it hit a three-week intraday low of $7,735 a tonne.
Since a price rally of almost 8 percent from mid-November to a near
two-month high on Dec. 12, momentum has begun to fade as traders have been
cutting risk and squaring positions ahead of year-end. The metal is up 2.4
percent so far this year.
CHINA EYED
Looking ahead to 2013, Strachan said investors are likely to focus on the
outlook for demand from China, which has remained soft this year.
"There has been a recovery in the Chinese economy, but it is weaker than
many seem to believe. We think Chinese demand (for copper) is going to be much
weaker than people expect because of the high stock levels," Strachan said.
In China, the world's top copper consumer, stocks in bonded warehouses have
swelled due to weak domestic demand and could dampen the country's appetite for
imports in coming months.
China imported 250,666 tonnes of refined copper in November, down 27 percent
from a year earlier, although imports over the 10 months to end-November were
still up 30 percent on the year at 3.16 million tonnes.
In other metals, aluminium was untraded in official rings but bid at
$2,071 a tonne, up from a last bid of $2,060 at the close on Thursday. It is on
course for its biggest weekly loss in more than two months.
Japan's aluminium premiums for January-March shipments were mostly set at
$240 to $245 per tonne, down from a record in the current
quarter, sources said.
Zinc was at $2,062 from Thursday's close of $2,071 a tonne, while
lead traded at $2,293 from $2,325.
The latest data showed lead stocks in warehouses monitored by the LME
continued to point to a falling trend, which began in late November. Stocks are
down 9 pct or 31,725 tonnes this month to 330,550 tonnes.
Nickel traded at $17,480 from $17,575 and tin was untraded,
but bid at $23,345 from a last bid of $23,345.
Metal Prices at 1332 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 353.00 0.50 +0.14 344.75 2.39
LME Alum 2078.00 -7.00 -0.34 2020.00 2.87
LME Cu 7803.75 31.75 +0.41 7600.00 2.68
LME Lead 2296.50 -28.50 -1.23 2034.00 12.91
LME Nickel 17496.00 -79.00 -0.45 18650.00 -6.19
LME Tin 23201.00 -299.00 -1.27 19200.00 20.84
LME Zinc 2065.25 -5.75 -0.28 1845.00 11.94
SHFE Alu 15260.00 10.00 +0.07 15845.00 -3.69
SHFE Cu* 56740.00 -130.00 -0.23 55360.00 2.49
SHFE Zin 15385.00 10.00 +0.07 14795.00 3.99
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07