RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil ends lower after India imposes import duty
* India slaps 2.5 pct import duty on crude edible oils
* Palm oil to retrace to 2,403 ringgit - technicals
(Recasts, updates throughout)
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
fell on Thursday after India imposed an import duty on crude
palm oil imports, a move that could hurt demand and leave stocks
near record highs.
India, the world's biggest buyer of vegetable oils, has set
a 2.5 percent import duty on crude edible oils to stem imports
and protect domestic oilseed growers.
Traders fear demand may take a further hit from the move
after Malaysian exports suffered a 20 percent decline for the
Jan. 1-15 period from a month ago.
"The market reacted negatively to the import duty," said
James Ratnam, a research analyst with TA Securities in Malaysia.
"But we are mindful that the duty may be too small to really
have an impact on crude palm oil demand."
The benchmark April contract on the Bursa Malaysia
Derivatives Exchange lost 2.1 percent to close at 2,378 ringgit
($789) per tonne.
Total traded volume surged to 45,433 lots of 25 tonnes each,
compared with the usual 25,000 lots, as the news triggered a
sell-off.
Technical analysis showed that Malaysian palm oil may end
its current rebound around resistance at 2,449 ringgit per
tonne, retracing to 2,403 ringgit, said Reuters market analyst
Wang Tao.
Malaysia, which neighbours top producer and rival Indonesia,
has been struggling with record stocks since September due to
tepid global economic conditions and the euro zone crisis, which
have stifled demand and caused prices to tumble 23 percent in
2012.
While end-stocks are expected to slowly shrink in the first
quarter of the this year on the back of seasonally slowing
production, sluggish exports could crimp any recovery in prices.
"For December we have stocks at 2.63 million tonnes. My
assumption is that we are not going to see a 3 million tonne
stock level, but it all depends on how exports play out for the
rest of the month," said Ker Chung Yang, an analyst with Phillip
Futures in Singapore.
Brent futures steadied near $110 per barrel on Thursday
after Islamist militants attacked an Algerian gas field and took
Western hostages, although concerns about a weak global economic
outlook and demand worries weighed.
In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for March
delivery fell 0.6 percent in late Asian trade. The most
active May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity
Exchange lost 0.2 percent at the close.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1006 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL FEB3 2346 -41.00 2335 2402 667
MY PALM OIL MAR3 2361 -54.00 2360 2428 9590
MY PALM OIL APR3 2378 -52.00 2377 2442 22082
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY3 6712 -64.00 6700 6818 454242
CHINA SOYOIL SEP3 8676 +12.00 8664 8730 368604
CBOT SOY OIL MAR3 51.00 -0.31 50.92 51.66 6803
NYMEX CRUDE FEB3 94.42 +0.18 93.80 94.47 13533
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel