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RTRS:METALS-Copper edges up on weak China data, monetary easing hopes
 
LONDON, May 13 (Reuters) - Copper edged up on Monday as weak Chinese factory
data for April raised expectations that the top metal consumer may embark on
further monetary easing, which would underpin demand for metals.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.5 percent to
$7,409 a tonne by 1039 GMT, from the previous session when it ended at $7,375,
up nearly 2 percent on the week. Copper hit $7,480 last Wednesday, its highest
in nearly a month.
China's factory output growth was surprisingly muted in April, darkening the
outlook for economic recovery and feeding expectations that Beijing may take
policy action to support activity.
"There are expectations that there may be a bit more easing on the way
because that factory data was weaker than expected," said Societe Generale
analyst Robin Bhar said
"That's what is keeping copper in positive territory and it is quite a
resilient performance because the dollar moved quite strongly in the last couple
of days and hit gold quite significantly, but base metals have held up."
A firmer dollar against a basket of currencies pulled gold down more than 1
percent on Monday.
A stronger U.S. unit makes dollar-priced commodities costlier for holders of
other currencies.

IMPROVING DEMAND
Physical copper demand has seen an improvement recently, market players
said.
This was also underlined by a narrowing contango , a discount for
the cash price against the three-month price, which fell from almost $40 a tonne
in March to around $27.50 on Monday.
In another sign of a pick up in demand, stocks of copper in warehouses
registered with the LME and with the Shanghai Futures Exchange
(SHFE) have also started to decline in the last few weeks.
"The LME inventories already reached their provisional high back in April.
Stocks on the SHFE have also been declining for weeks and last week again. If we
simultaneously factor in the huge increase in open interest on the LME, the
growing tension on the copper market is literally palpable," Commerzbank said in
a research note.
Copper stocks in LME-registered warehouses rose by 2,450 tonnes
to 606,700 tonnes, data released on Monday showed, but have been declining since
hitting a decade-high in April at 621,600 tonnes.
But not all this material is readily available for delivery since in the
last few months an increasing number of copper market participants have engaged
in deals, known as cash as cash-and-carries, which were previously popular
mainly in aluminium and zinc.
In these deals, which are made profitable by the availability of cheap
financing due to low interest rates, traders agree to store their excess metal
in long-term rent deals and sell it forward at a higher price due to a healthy
forward prices spread.
"There are maybe about 600,000 tonnes of copper in LME warehouses but can be
can we get hold of it? As physical demand gets stronger I think we'll get some
real evidence that a lot of the copper is not really available because is tied
up in financing deals and it is stuck behind lengthy queues," Bhar said.

Metal Prices at 1040 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2012 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 335.60 0.35 +0.10 365.25 -8.12
LME Alum 1860.50 -11.50 -0.61 2073.00 -10.25
LME Cu 7409.00 34.00 +0.46 7931.00 -6.58
LME Lead 2002.00 8.00 +0.40 2330.00 -14.08
LME Nickel 15415.00 55.00 +0.36 17060.00 -9.64
LME Tin 20863.00 138.00 +0.67 23400.00 -10.84
LME Zinc 1855.00 -4.00 -0.22 2080.00 -10.82
SHFE Alu 14570.00 -45.00 -0.31 15435.00 -5.60
SHFE Cu* 53630.00 440.00 +0.83 57690.00 -7.04
SHFE Zin 14550.00 15.00 +0.10 15625.00 -6.88
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
Source