RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil hits highest in almost 1-1/2 yrs on dry weather fears
* Palm oil expected to rise to 2,883 ringgit -technicals
* Benchmark prices hit 2,860 ringgit peak; highest since Sept, 2012
By Michael Taylor
JAKARTA, March 3 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rose to their
highest in nearly one and a half years on Monday, boosted by climbs in
comparative vegetable oils and by expectations dry weather will dent output in
dominant Southeast Asian producers.
The U.S. soyoil contract for May added 1 percent in early Asian
trade, while the most active May soybean oil contract on the Dalian
Commodities Exchange gained 1.5 percent.
By the midday break, the benchmark May contract on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had climbed 1.3 percent to 2,836 ringgit ($870)
per tonne. Prices earlier hit 2,860 ringgit, their highest since Sept. 20, 2012.
"The first thing is the weather," a trader with a foreign commodities
brokerage said. "It is a weather play .. in both Indonesia and Malaysia.
"At the same time, we all saw what happened to soybean oils on Friday and
Dalian followed."
Concerns over dry weather tightening palm supplies have boosted palm prices
in recent sessions, but bumper global oilseed supplies could dent the recent
rally, analysts and traders said an industry conference in Kuala Lumpur on
Monday.
Market participants will be keeping watch for price outlooks from key
industry speakers at the conference that runs from March 3-5.
Technicals were bullish. Malaysian palm oil is expected to rise to 2,883
ringgit per tonne, as indicated by a Fibonacci retracement analysis, said
Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
Total traded volume on Monday morning stood at 14,144 lots of 25 tonnes,
slightly above the average 12,500 lots.
India, the world's biggest importer of vegetable oils, will boost imports of
soybean oil at the cost of palm in the year to October 2014 as the spread
between the two competing products has narrowed, traders said.
In other markets, Brent and U.S. crude oil rallied more than $2 per barrel
to multi-month highs, lifted by rising tension in Ukraine after Russian
President Vladimir Putin declared he had the right to invade his neighbour.
Higher crude oil prices would increase demand for palm oil as an alternative
feedstock to produce biofuels.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0617 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 0 +0.00 0 0 200
MY PALM OIL APR4 2842 +37.00 2829 2861 720
MY PALM OIL MAY4 2836 +36.00 2825 2860 8399
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 6164 +82.00 6146 6194 120652
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 6848 +100.00 6824 6874 103280
CBOT SOY OIL MAY4 42.22 +0.42 41.87 42.30 5703
NYMEX CRUDE APR4 103.82 +1.23 102.95 104.65 23066
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel