BLBG: Oil Trades Near $50 After First Weekly Gain in 2 Months
Oil declined from a one-week high in London and New York as Iraqi production advanced to a record, compounding a global supply surplus.
Prices slid as much as 1.9 percent in London and New York after their first weekly gain in two months. Iraq is pumping at a record pace of 4 million barrels a day, Oil Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi said. Oil extended losses after Chinese shares plunged the most since 2008 as regulators cracked down on margin lending.
Crude slumped almost 50 percent last year as the U.S. pumped oil at the fastest rate in more than three decades while the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries resisted calls to cut supply. Iraq’s oil production rose to a 35-year high in December and could break further records in the coming months, according to the International Energy Agency.
“With supply exceeding demand it still seems highly likely that the market will fall further,” Christopher Bellew, senior broker at Jefferies International Ltd. in London, said by e-mail. “Rallies above $50 have proved very short-lived and my expectation is for the price to move in a sideways range until the next move to the downside, which I expect to take the price to $40 or lower.”
London Trading
Brent for March settlement slid as much as 95 cents to $49.22 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. It gained 3.9 percent to $50.17 on Jan. 16, the highest settlement since Jan. 8. It was at $49.77 at 11:28 a.m. London time. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $1.19 to WTI for the same month.
West Texas Intermediate for February delivery, which expires on Jan. 20, dropped as much as 93 cents to $47.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The more active March future fell as much as 96 cents to $48.17. The volume of all futures traded was 9 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day. Prices rose 0.7 percent last week.
Chinese regulators are tightening control of margin investing amid concern that a six-month, 63 percent stock surge is unsustainable and may lead to instability. The Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 7.7 percent, wiping out the year’s advance.
OPEC Tactics
“It is indeed not supportive for oil prices,” Michael Poulsen, an analyst at Global Risk Management Ltd. in Middelfart, Denmark, said by e-mail of the decline in Chinese stocks. “Combined with one of the world’s worst-kept secrets -- OPEC trying to wash out shale players -- oil prices have had a rough ride.”
Iraq plans to increase crude exports to 3.3 million barrels a day this year, including sales from the semi-autonomous Kurdish region in the north, Abdul Mahdi said. The OPEC producer exported 2.94 million barrels a day in December, the most since the 1980s, Oil Ministry spokesman Asim Jihad said Jan. 2.
In Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s biggest producer, oil exports rose to a seven-month high in November, when it led the group to keep its production quota unchanged. Overseas shipments climbed to 7.3 million barrels a day from 6.9 million in October, according to data on the website of the Joint Organisations Data Initiative.
OPEC, which supplies about 40 percent of the world’s oil, maintained its collective quota of 30 million barrels a day at a meeting on Nov. 27. The 12-member group pumped 30.2 million a day in December, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
U.S. producers idled a record number of drilling rigs during the past six weeks, according to data from Baker Hughes Inc. on Jan. 16. The number of operating oil rigs in the U.S. has declined by 209 since Dec. 5, the data show. The count was down 55 in the week ended Jan. 16 to 1,366.
U.S. output rose to 9.19 million barrels a day through Jan. 9, the fastest pace in weekly records dating back to January 1983, data from the Energy Information Administration show.
To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Smith in London at gsmith52@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alaric Nightingale at anightingal1@bloomberg.net James Herron
