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UK: GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar drifts up as Greek worries weigh on Europe
 
* Greek debt worries, Ukraine conflict sap risk appetite
* China CPI hits 5-year low, reinforces sign of weakness
* Dollar on the rise again as yields nudge higher
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Feb 10 (Reuters) - Nerves over Greece's future in
the euro and the conflict in Ukraine dragged on European markets
on Tuesday, while bets on the likelihood of a U.S. interest rate
hike nudged the dollar higher and oil prices held steady after a
rebound.
European stocks fell 0.3 percent and the euro slipped
towards $1.13 ahead of what is set to be a tense,
Greece-dominated meeting of euro zone finance ministers on
Wednesday.
The global disinflation/deflation story was also back on
investors' radar as Chinese inflation fell below 1 percent to
its lowest in five months, drawing talk of further easing from
China's central bank, the PBOC.
That had sent shares in Shanghai up more than 1 percent,
though other Asian stocks eased on more generalised risk
aversion.
Commodity price-dependent currencies such as the Australian
dollar and Norwegian crown ( EURNOK=) got a lift from
the talk of China stimulus, but for many traders the main focus
remained the dollar as it nudged up again.
"We are just wondering what the status is on this dollar
move as U.S. rates (bond yields) rise," Saxo Bank's head of FX
strategy, John Hardy, said.
"We had the big move on Friday after the strong jobs numbers
but then yesterday everything went quiet so hopefully it will
rally today to show that there is something behind it."
On the strains on the euro, Hardy pointed out that markets
appear relatively pragmatic about a potential exit of Greece
from the 19-member currency bloc.
Although Greek markets have been hit hard - benchmark Greek
bond yields remain above 10.75 percent - the euro performed
relatively well against currencies other than the dollar. There
has been limited impact on Spanish and Italian bond markets.
Britain's finance minister George Osborne, however, warned
on Tuesday that the risk of a "very bad outcome" was growing
between Greece and the euro area. Britain is not a member but
trades heavily with Europe.
STIMULUS, OIL
Asian share markets had ended mostly lower with Japan's
Nikkei down 0.8 percent and shares in Australia and
South Korea also off, leaving MSCI (NYSE: MSCI - news) 's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan down 0.25
percent.
Chinese inflation data had again shown signs of weakness in
the world's No. 2 economy as consumer price inflation hit a
five-year low of 0.8 percent year-on-year in January.
It adds to a huge global trend which is pressing central
banks in many parts of the world to lower interest rates or turn
to unconventional policy stimulus again.
"This will likely be the low point for CPI (Other OTC: CPICQ - news) inflation given
that oil is rebounding. Still, the data will increase rate cut
expectations and we see a cut in March," Credit Agricole senior
economist in Hong Kong, Dariusz Kowalczyk, said.
According to a draft communique from leaders of the Group of
20 (G20) countries meeting in Istanbul, they will pledge to act
decisively on monetary and fiscal policy, if needed, to combat
the risk of persistent stagnation.
The United States, however, strongly underlined at the
meeting that countries should not to use their currencies to try
to boost exports, one U.S. Treasury official said in a thinly
veiled reference to what is fast becoming a global currency war.
The dollar rose 0.15 percent to 118.78 yen, having
hit 119.23 on Friday in a rally triggered by robust U.S.
non-farm payrolls. It was also up 0.3 percent against the top
six world currencies.
Among commodities, safe-haven gold dipped and crude oil
snapped three days of gains after a survey showed that U.S.
commercial crude stockpiles hit a record high last week.
It jumped on Monday as OPEC forecast greater demand this
year than previously thought and projected less supply from
countries outside the producer group.
U.S. crude was down 1.3 percent at $52.45 a barrel
after gaining 2.3 percent overnight. Brent was 0.6
percent lower at 57.97 percent.
Source